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NFL PickEm

I have been playing PickEm for nearly a decade, and I am so addicted to it. It is just the right amount of analysis and luck that it drives the engineer in me crazy... but it is so much fun. There are so many weeks that I am just one play away from a win, and then boom, it happens and I come in second. Then that magic week happens and everything falls into place, and I am the winner and on top of the clouds. I have worked for years on developing this system and I have done well with it. I hope you find it useful.

Folder Week: week_11

NFL PickEm Week 11

Pick #16

Matchup: JAX at DET

My Pick: DET

Away Team: JAX (2-8)
Outlook: . Trevor Lawrence's shoulder injury will need to be monitored closely in the upcoming games. Despite a strong defensive performance against the Vikings, the team still came up short. The upcoming game against the Lions could be a tough challenge for them.
Wk#1: JAX at MIA (17 - 20) L -- Wk#2: CLE at JAX (18 - 13) L -- Wk#3: JAX at BUF (10 - 47) L -- Wk#4: JAX at HOU (20 - 24) L -- Wk#5: IND at JAX (34 - 37) W -- Wk#6: JAX at CHI (16 - 35) L -- Wk#7: NE at JAX (16 - 32) W -- Wk#8: GB at JAX (30 - 27) L -- Wk#9: JAX at PHI (23 - 28) L -- Wk#10: MIN at JAX (12 - 7) L
Power Ranking: 31

Home Team: DET (8-1)
Outlook: The recent victory over the Texans showcased the resilience and strength of this NFL team. Their impressive comeback on Sunday night demonstrated the determination and toughness that defines their game, reflecting the unique coaching style of Dan Campbell.
Wk#1: LA at DET (20 - 26) W -- Wk#2: TB at DET (20 - 16) L -- Wk#3: DET at ARI (20 - 13) W -- Wk#4: SEA at DET (29 - 42) W -- Wk#6: DET at DAL (47 - 9) W -- Wk#7: DET at MIN (31 - 29) W -- Wk#8: TEN at DET (14 - 52) W -- Wk#9: DET at GB (24 - 14) W -- Wk#10: DET at HOU (26 - 23) W
Power Ranking: 2

My Calc: 20.2
Power Diff: 29
Home Odds: 13

Pick #15

Matchup: MIN at TEN

My Pick: MIN

Away Team: MIN (7-2)
Outlook: The success of the team relies heavily on the performance of quarterback Sam Darnold, who had a rough game in Jacksonville with three interceptions. It is crucial for Darnold to bounce back and play at a high level moving forward, as strong opponents will capitalize on any mistakes he makes on the field.
Wk#1: MIN at NYG (28 - 6) W -- Wk#2: SF at MIN (17 - 23) W -- Wk#3: HOU at MIN (7 - 34) W -- Wk#4: MIN at GB (31 - 29) W -- Wk#5: NYJ at MIN (17 - 23) W -- Wk#7: DET at MIN (31 - 29) L -- Wk#8: MIN at LA (20 - 30) L -- Wk#9: IND at MIN (13 - 21) W -- Wk#10: MIN at JAX (12 - 7) W
Power Ranking: 7

Home Team: TEN (2-7)
Outlook: After a three-week absence, Will Levis made his return to the field in the Chargers game and showed promising improvements. This is a positive development moving forward, and it is crucial for Levis to continue to progress and capitalize on this performance.
Wk#1: TEN at CHI (17 - 24) L -- Wk#2: NYJ at TEN (24 - 17) L -- Wk#3: GB at TEN (30 - 14) L -- Wk#4: TEN at MIA (31 - 12) W -- Wk#6: IND at TEN (20 - 17) L -- Wk#7: TEN at BUF (10 - 34) L -- Wk#8: TEN at DET (14 - 52) L -- Wk#9: NE at TEN (17 - 20) W -- Wk#10: TEN at LAC (17 - 27) L
Power Ranking: 29

My Calc: -11.5
Power Diff: -22
Home Odds: -6

Pick #14

Matchup: LV at MIA

My Pick: MIA

Away Team: LV (2-7)
Outlook: The team's hopes for improvement rely on the impact of their new offensive coordinator, although their offensive struggles may persist due to a lackluster quarterback situation. It is crucial for the team to address this issue by selecting a promising quarterback in the upcoming draft.
Wk#1: LV at LAC (10 - 22) L -- Wk#2: LV at BAL (26 - 23) W -- Wk#3: CAR at LV (36 - 22) L -- Wk#4: CLE at LV (16 - 20) W -- Wk#5: LV at DEN (18 - 34) L -- Wk#6: PIT at LV (32 - 13) L -- Wk#7: LV at LA (15 - 20) L -- Wk#8: KC at LV (27 - 20) L -- Wk#9: LV at CIN (24 - 41) L
Power Ranking: 32

Home Team: MIA (3-6)
Outlook: The recent win against the Rams was crucial for the team's season. The defense played a pivotal role in securing the victory and keeping their playoff hopes alive.
Wk#1: JAX at MIA (17 - 20) W -- Wk#2: BUF at MIA (31 - 10) L -- Wk#3: MIA at SEA (3 - 24) L -- Wk#4: TEN at MIA (31 - 12) L -- Wk#5: MIA at NE (15 - 10) W -- Wk#7: MIA at IND (10 - 16) L -- Wk#8: ARI at MIA (28 - 27) L -- Wk#9: MIA at BUF (27 - 30) L -- Wk#10: MIA at LA (23 - 15) W
Power Ranking: 20

My Calc: 10.5
Power Diff: 12
Home Odds: 7.5

Pick #13

Matchup: HOU at DAL

My Pick: HOU

Away Team: HOU (6-4)
Outlook: The team is currently sitting at 6-4 and has the opportunity to win their division due to the lack of competition. In order to secure the division title, they need to focus on regaining their winning momentum and coming out victorious in upcoming games.
Wk#1: HOU at IND (29 - 27) W -- Wk#2: CHI at HOU (13 - 19) W -- Wk#3: HOU at MIN (7 - 34) L -- Wk#4: JAX at HOU (20 - 24) W -- Wk#5: BUF at HOU (20 - 23) W -- Wk#6: HOU at NE (41 - 21) W -- Wk#7: HOU at GB (22 - 24) L -- Wk#8: IND at HOU (20 - 23) W -- Wk#9: HOU at NYJ (13 - 21) L -- Wk#10: DET at HOU (26 - 23) L
Power Ranking: 14

Home Team: DAL (3-6)
Outlook: The team's future seems uncertain as their starting quarterback has suffered a season-ending injury, and the current backup options do not inspire much confidence. It remains to be seen how they will navigate through this challenging situation.
Wk#1: DAL at CLE (33 - 17) W -- Wk#2: NO at DAL (44 - 19) L -- Wk#3: BAL at DAL (28 - 25) L -- Wk#4: DAL at NYG (20 - 15) W -- Wk#5: DAL at PIT (20 - 17) W -- Wk#6: DET at DAL (47 - 9) L -- Wk#8: DAL at SF (24 - 30) L -- Wk#9: DAL at ATL (21 - 27) L -- Wk#10: PHI at DAL (34 - 6) L
Power Ranking: 25

My Calc: -10.2
Power Diff: -11
Home Odds: -7.5

Pick #12

Matchup: GB at CHI

My Pick: GB

Away Team: GB (6-3)
Outlook: The team returns from their timely bye week with a slew of injuries, preparing to face the Chicago Bears on the road in a divisional matchup. Jordan Love is expected to be in better health following the break, providing a boost to the team's prospects moving forward.
Wk#1: GB at PHI (29 - 34) L -- Wk#2: IND at GB (10 - 16) W -- Wk#3: GB at TEN (30 - 14) W -- Wk#4: MIN at GB (31 - 29) L -- Wk#5: GB at LA (24 - 19) W -- Wk#6: ARI at GB (13 - 34) W -- Wk#7: HOU at GB (22 - 24) W -- Wk#8: GB at JAX (30 - 27) W -- Wk#9: DET at GB (24 - 14) L
Power Ranking: 8

Home Team: CHI (4-5)
Outlook: They will need to make some adjustments on offense as they have been stagnant in the last three games. Caleb Williams has struggled due to poor protection from the offensive line.
Wk#1: TEN at CHI (17 - 24) W -- Wk#2: CHI at HOU (13 - 19) L -- Wk#3: CHI at IND (16 - 21) L -- Wk#4: LA at CHI (18 - 24) W -- Wk#5: CAR at CHI (10 - 36) W -- Wk#6: JAX at CHI (16 - 35) W -- Wk#8: CHI at WAS (15 - 18) L -- Wk#9: CHI at ARI (9 - 29) L -- Wk#10: NE at CHI (19 - 3) L
Power Ranking: 21

My Calc: -9.2
Power Diff: -13
Home Odds: -6

Pick #11

Matchup: SEA at SF

My Pick: SF

Away Team: SEA (4-5)
Outlook: Have they made improvements on defense during their bye week? If not, they may face continued struggles, especially in their upcoming crucial road division matchup against the 49ers.
Wk#1: DEN at SEA (20 - 26) W -- Wk#2: SEA at NE (23 - 20) W -- Wk#3: MIA at SEA (3 - 24) W -- Wk#4: SEA at DET (29 - 42) L -- Wk#5: NYG at SEA (29 - 20) L -- Wk#6: SF at SEA (36 - 24) L -- Wk#7: SEA at ATL (34 - 14) W -- Wk#8: BUF at SEA (31 - 10) L -- Wk#9: LA at SEA (26 - 20) L
Power Ranking: 17

Home Team: SF (5-4)
Outlook: The return of key players like Christian McCaffrey will provide a boost for the team's playoff aspirations. However, there is room for improvement in their performance in the upcoming weeks.
Wk#1: NYJ at SF (19 - 32) W -- Wk#2: SF at MIN (17 - 23) L -- Wk#3: SF at LA (24 - 27) L -- Wk#4: NE at SF (13 - 30) W -- Wk#5: ARI at SF (24 - 23) L -- Wk#6: SF at SEA (36 - 24) W -- Wk#7: KC at SF (28 - 18) L -- Wk#8: DAL at SF (24 - 30) W -- Wk#10: SF at TB (23 - 20) W
Power Ranking: 11

My Calc: 8
Power Diff: 6
Home Odds: 6.5

Pick #10

Matchup: LA at NE

My Pick: LA

Away Team: LA (4-5)
Outlook: The team's momentum from their recent three-game winning streak fizzled out in their disappointing loss to the Dolphins. The offense struggled to make an impact in Monday's game.
Wk#1: LA at DET (20 - 26) L -- Wk#2: LA at ARI (10 - 41) L -- Wk#3: SF at LA (24 - 27) W -- Wk#4: LA at CHI (18 - 24) L -- Wk#5: GB at LA (24 - 19) L -- Wk#7: LV at LA (15 - 20) W -- Wk#8: MIN at LA (20 - 30) W -- Wk#9: LA at SEA (26 - 20) W -- Wk#10: MIA at LA (23 - 15) L
Power Ranking: 18

Home Team: NE (3-7)
Outlook: It must be reassuring for the team to see Drake Maye outperforming Caleb Williams in their recent win against the Bears. The defense also played a crucial role in securing the victory.
Wk#1: NE at CIN (16 - 10) W -- Wk#2: SEA at NE (23 - 20) L -- Wk#3: NE at NYJ (3 - 24) L -- Wk#4: NE at SF (13 - 30) L -- Wk#5: MIA at NE (15 - 10) L -- Wk#6: HOU at NE (41 - 21) L -- Wk#7: NE at JAX (16 - 32) L -- Wk#8: NYJ at NE (22 - 25) W -- Wk#9: NE at TEN (17 - 20) L -- Wk#10: NE at CHI (19 - 3) W
Power Ranking: 26

My Calc: -7
Power Diff: -8
Home Odds: -5

Pick #9

Matchup: WAS at PHI

My Pick: PHI

Away Team: WAS (7-3)
Outlook: Surrendering a 10-point advantage in a defeat to the Steelers will be a difficult pill to swallow. The team must quickly regroup and focus on their upcoming pivotal Thursday match against the Eagles.
Wk#1: WAS at TB (20 - 37) L -- Wk#2: NYG at WAS (18 - 21) W -- Wk#3: WAS at CIN (38 - 33) W -- Wk#4: WAS at ARI (42 - 14) W -- Wk#5: CLE at WAS (13 - 34) W -- Wk#6: WAS at BAL (23 - 30) L -- Wk#7: CAR at WAS (7 - 40) W -- Wk#8: CHI at WAS (15 - 18) W -- Wk#9: WAS at NYG (27 - 22) W -- Wk#10: PIT at WAS (28 - 27) L
Power Ranking: 10

Home Team: PHI (7-2)
Outlook: After making significant improvements, this team is now on the right track. Their upcoming game against the Commanders on Thursday is crucial for their position in the division. Their performance has notably improved, showing a marked improvement.
Wk#1: GB at PHI (29 - 34) W -- Wk#2: ATL at PHI (22 - 21) L -- Wk#3: PHI at NO (15 - 12) W -- Wk#4: PHI at TB (16 - 33) L -- Wk#6: CLE at PHI (16 - 20) W -- Wk#7: PHI at NYG (28 - 3) W -- Wk#8: PHI at CIN (37 - 17) W -- Wk#9: JAX at PHI (23 - 28) W -- Wk#10: PHI at DAL (34 - 6) W
Power Ranking: 6

My Calc: 4.5
Power Diff: 4
Home Odds: 3.5

Pick #8

Matchup: IND at NYJ

My Pick: NYJ

Away Team: IND (4-6)
Outlook: After suffering back-to-back defeats, the team is facing questions about their starting quarterback, Joe Flacco. It could be worth exploring a return to Anthony Richardson as the team looks to turn things around.
Wk#1: HOU at IND (29 - 27) L -- Wk#2: IND at GB (10 - 16) L -- Wk#3: CHI at IND (16 - 21) W -- Wk#4: PIT at IND (24 - 27) W -- Wk#5: IND at JAX (34 - 37) L -- Wk#6: IND at TEN (20 - 17) W -- Wk#7: MIA at IND (10 - 16) W -- Wk#8: IND at HOU (20 - 23) L -- Wk#9: IND at MIN (13 - 21) L -- Wk#10: BUF at IND (30 - 20) L
Power Ranking: 22

Home Team: NYJ (3-7)
Outlook: Aaron Rodgers appears to be struggling, the team's defense is underperforming, and the coaching decisions and player acquisitions, such as Davante Adams, have not been successful in turning the season around. The team showed a lack of effort in their recent game against the Cardinals.
Wk#1: NYJ at SF (19 - 32) L -- Wk#2: NYJ at TEN (24 - 17) W -- Wk#3: NE at NYJ (3 - 24) W -- Wk#4: DEN at NYJ (10 - 9) L -- Wk#5: NYJ at MIN (17 - 23) L -- Wk#6: BUF at NYJ (23 - 20) L -- Wk#7: NYJ at PIT (15 - 37) L -- Wk#8: NYJ at NE (22 - 25) L -- Wk#9: HOU at NYJ (13 - 21) W -- Wk#10: NYJ at ARI (6 - 31) L
Power Ranking: 24

My Calc: 3.5
Power Diff: -2
Home Odds: 4

Pick #7

Matchup: BAL at PIT

My Pick: BAL

Away Team: BAL (7-3)
Outlook: The team's offense shows promise with its dynamic play, but the defense is currently struggling, particularly in defending the pass. Improvements are crucial, as a strong defense is necessary for a Super Bowl win. This upcoming game against the Steelers will be a key opportunity to show progress.
Wk#1: BAL at KC (20 - 27) L -- Wk#2: LV at BAL (26 - 23) L -- Wk#3: BAL at DAL (28 - 25) W -- Wk#4: BUF at BAL (10 - 35) W -- Wk#5: BAL at CIN (41 - 38) W -- Wk#6: WAS at BAL (23 - 30) W -- Wk#7: BAL at TB (41 - 31) W -- Wk#8: BAL at CLE (24 - 29) L -- Wk#9: DEN at BAL (10 - 41) W -- Wk#10: CIN at BAL (34 - 35) W
Power Ranking: 4

Home Team: PIT (7-2)
Outlook: As of now, many believe Mike Tomlin should be considered a strong candidate for Coach of the Year due to the impressive 7-2 start of his team. Russell Wilson's impressive performance and knack for throwing long passes have been key in their victories, but the Ravens are now emerging as a serious contender in the league.
Wk#1: PIT at ATL (18 - 10) W -- Wk#2: PIT at DEN (13 - 6) W -- Wk#3: LAC at PIT (10 - 20) W -- Wk#4: PIT at IND (24 - 27) L -- Wk#5: DAL at PIT (20 - 17) L -- Wk#6: PIT at LV (32 - 13) W -- Wk#7: NYJ at PIT (15 - 37) W -- Wk#8: NYG at PIT (18 - 26) W -- Wk#10: PIT at WAS (28 - 27) W
Power Ranking: 5

My Calc: -3.2
Power Diff: -1
Home Odds: -3

Pick #6

Matchup: CIN at LAC

My Pick: LAC

Away Team: CIN (4-6)
Outlook: This team, currently with a 4-6 record, is showing promise unlike any seen in the league for quite some time. Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase have been standouts, displaying exceptional talent. In order to keep their playoff hopes alive, they need to secure victories in their upcoming matchups against the Chargers and Steelers.
Wk#1: NE at CIN (16 - 10) L -- Wk#2: CIN at KC (25 - 26) L -- Wk#3: WAS at CIN (38 - 33) L -- Wk#4: CIN at CAR (34 - 24) W -- Wk#5: BAL at CIN (41 - 38) L -- Wk#6: CIN at NYG (17 - 7) W -- Wk#7: CIN at CLE (21 - 14) W -- Wk#8: PHI at CIN (37 - 17) L -- Wk#9: LV at CIN (24 - 41) W -- Wk#10: CIN at BAL (34 - 35) L
Power Ranking: 16

Home Team: LAC (6-3)
Outlook: This team has the versatility to excel in all facets of the game - running, passing, and defense. With a highly skilled coach at the helm, they are poised to be a formidable contender when playoff time arrives.
Wk#1: LV at LAC (10 - 22) W -- Wk#2: LAC at CAR (26 - 3) W -- Wk#3: LAC at PIT (10 - 20) L -- Wk#4: KC at LAC (17 - 10) L -- Wk#6: LAC at DEN (23 - 16) W -- Wk#7: LAC at ARI (15 - 17) L -- Wk#8: NO at LAC (8 - 26) W -- Wk#9: LAC at CLE (27 - 10) W -- Wk#10: TEN at LAC (17 - 27) W
Power Ranking: 9

My Calc: 3.2
Power Diff: 7
Home Odds: 1.5

Pick #5

Matchup: ATL at DEN

My Pick: DEN

Away Team: ATL (6-4)
Outlook: The team suffered a tough defeat on the road against the Saints. On a positive note, the Buccaneers also suffered a loss, but the team's performance in New Orleans was not up to par.
Wk#1: PIT at ATL (18 - 10) L -- Wk#2: ATL at PHI (22 - 21) W -- Wk#3: KC at ATL (22 - 17) L -- Wk#4: NO at ATL (24 - 26) W -- Wk#5: TB at ATL (30 - 36) W -- Wk#6: ATL at CAR (38 - 20) W -- Wk#7: SEA at ATL (34 - 14) L -- Wk#8: ATL at TB (31 - 26) W -- Wk#9: DAL at ATL (21 - 27) W -- Wk#10: ATL at NO (17 - 20) L
Power Ranking: 13

Home Team: DEN (5-5)
Outlook: The recent defeat to the Chiefs due to a blocked field goal will be a challenging setback for the team to bounce back from. However, they are currently in playoff contention, indicating that they need to quickly refocus and move forward without dwelling on the loss.
Wk#1: DEN at SEA (20 - 26) L -- Wk#2: PIT at DEN (13 - 6) L -- Wk#3: DEN at TB (26 - 7) W -- Wk#4: DEN at NYJ (10 - 9) W -- Wk#5: LV at DEN (18 - 34) W -- Wk#6: LAC at DEN (23 - 16) L -- Wk#7: DEN at NO (33 - 10) W -- Wk#8: CAR at DEN (14 - 28) W -- Wk#9: DEN at BAL (10 - 41) L -- Wk#10: DEN at KC (14 - 16) L
Power Ranking: 15

My Calc: 2
Power Diff: -2
Home Odds: 2.5

Pick #4

Matchup: KC at BUF

My Pick: BUF

Away Team: KC (9-0)
Outlook: The NFL team has been consistently finding ways to win, despite facing challenges. Their upcoming game against the Bills will be a true test for them, as they will need to focus on scoring to secure a victory on the road.
Wk#1: BAL at KC (20 - 27) W -- Wk#2: CIN at KC (25 - 26) W -- Wk#3: KC at ATL (22 - 17) W -- Wk#4: KC at LAC (17 - 10) W -- Wk#5: NO at KC (13 - 26) W -- Wk#7: KC at SF (28 - 18) W -- Wk#8: KC at LV (27 - 20) W -- Wk#9: TB at KC (24 - 30) W -- Wk#10: DEN at KC (14 - 16) W
Power Ranking: 1

Home Team: BUF (8-2)
Outlook: This week, the Chiefs are coming to town and the Bills have a prime opportunity to prove themselves as the top team in the AFC. They will face off against the reigning kings of the conference, their long-time rivals.
Wk#1: ARI at BUF (28 - 34) W -- Wk#2: BUF at MIA (31 - 10) W -- Wk#3: JAX at BUF (10 - 47) W -- Wk#4: BUF at BAL (10 - 35) L -- Wk#5: BUF at HOU (20 - 23) L -- Wk#6: BUF at NYJ (23 - 20) W -- Wk#7: TEN at BUF (10 - 34) W -- Wk#8: BUF at SEA (31 - 10) W -- Wk#9: MIA at BUF (27 - 30) W -- Wk#10: BUF at IND (30 - 20) W
Power Ranking: 3

My Calc: 2
Power Diff: -2
Home Odds: 2.5

Pick #3

Matchup: CLE at NO

My Pick: CLE

Away Team: CLE (2-7)
Outlook: With a multitude of injuries impacting their season, the team faces significant challenges ahead, particularly in light of the ongoing Deshaun Watson situation. The road ahead promises to be difficult, but they remain hopeful for a successful outcome.
Wk#1: DAL at CLE (33 - 17) L -- Wk#2: CLE at JAX (18 - 13) W -- Wk#3: NYG at CLE (21 - 15) L -- Wk#4: CLE at LV (16 - 20) L -- Wk#5: CLE at WAS (13 - 34) L -- Wk#6: CLE at PHI (16 - 20) L -- Wk#7: CIN at CLE (21 - 14) L -- Wk#8: BAL at CLE (24 - 29) W -- Wk#9: LAC at CLE (27 - 10) L
Power Ranking: 23

Home Team: NO (3-7)
Outlook: Darren Rizzi injected some energy into the team while serving as interim coach, but it remains to be seen if that momentum will continue.
Wk#1: CAR at NO (10 - 47) W -- Wk#2: NO at DAL (44 - 19) W -- Wk#3: PHI at NO (15 - 12) L -- Wk#4: NO at ATL (24 - 26) L -- Wk#5: NO at KC (13 - 26) L -- Wk#6: TB at NO (51 - 27) L -- Wk#7: DEN at NO (33 - 10) L -- Wk#8: NO at LAC (8 - 26) L -- Wk#9: NO at CAR (22 - 23) L -- Wk#10: ATL at NO (17 - 20) W
Power Ranking: 28

My Calc: -0.2
Power Diff: -5
Home Odds: 1

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