NFL PickEm

I have been playing PickEm for nearly a decade, and I am so addicted to it. It is just the right amount of analysis and luck that it drives the engineer in me crazy... but it is so much fun. There are so many weeks that I am just one play away from a win, and then boom, it happens and I come in second. Then that magic week happens and everything falls into place, and I am the winner and on top of the clouds. I have worked for years on developing this system and I have done well with it. I hope you find it useful.

Folder Week: week_12

NFL PickEm Week 12

Pick #16

Matchup: KC at CAR

My Pick: KC

Away Team: KC (9-0)
Outlook: The NFL team's hopes for an undefeated season have been dashed, but they did have a strong showing from Xavier Worthy in the game against the Bills, which bodes well for their future performances. 2
Wk#1: BAL at KC (20 - 27) W -- Wk#2: CIN at KC (25 - 26) W -- Wk#3: KC at ATL (22 - 17) W -- Wk#4: KC at LAC (17 - 10) W -- Wk#5: NO at KC (13 - 26) W -- Wk#7: KC at SF (28 - 18) W -- Wk#8: KC at LV (27 - 20) W -- Wk#9: TB at KC (24 - 30) W -- Wk#10: DEN at KC (14 - 16) W
Power Ranking: 3

Home Team: CAR (3-7)
Outlook: After their bye week, the team will face a tough opponent in the Chiefs, who are looking to bounce back from their first loss of the season. Quarterback Bryce Young has shown improvement, and fans are eager to see if he can continue to elevate his performance.
Wk#1: CAR at NO (10 - 47) L -- Wk#2: LAC at CAR (26 - 3) L -- Wk#3: CAR at LV (36 - 22) W -- Wk#4: CIN at CAR (34 - 24) L -- Wk#5: CAR at CHI (10 - 36) L -- Wk#6: ATL at CAR (38 - 20) L -- Wk#7: CAR at WAS (7 - 40) L -- Wk#8: CAR at DEN (14 - 28) L -- Wk#9: NO at CAR (22 - 23) W -- Wk#10: NYG at CAR (17 - 20) W
Power Ranking: 28

My Calc: -17.8
Power Diff: -25
Home Odds: -11.5

Pick #15

Matchup: DAL at WAS

My Pick: WAS

Away Team: DAL (3-6)
Outlook: With just seven games left in the season, it's clear that this team is on the verge of collapse. The disappointing results can only be seen as a major setback, prompting imminent changes to be made in the near future.
Wk#1: DAL at CLE (33 - 17) W -- Wk#2: NO at DAL (44 - 19) L -- Wk#3: BAL at DAL (28 - 25) L -- Wk#4: DAL at NYG (20 - 15) W -- Wk#5: DAL at PIT (20 - 17) W -- Wk#6: DET at DAL (47 - 9) L -- Wk#8: DAL at SF (24 - 30) L -- Wk#9: DAL at ATL (21 - 27) L -- Wk#10: PHI at DAL (34 - 6) L
Power Ranking: 26

Home Team: WAS (7-3)
Outlook: Jayden Daniels appears to be struggling on the field, possibly due to a rib injury impacting his performance. The upcoming break in the schedule will likely benefit him as he works to recover and improve his play.
Wk#1: WAS at TB (20 - 37) L -- Wk#2: NYG at WAS (18 - 21) W -- Wk#3: WAS at CIN (38 - 33) W -- Wk#4: WAS at ARI (42 - 14) W -- Wk#5: CLE at WAS (13 - 34) W -- Wk#6: WAS at BAL (23 - 30) L -- Wk#7: CAR at WAS (7 - 40) W -- Wk#8: CHI at WAS (15 - 18) W -- Wk#9: WAS at NYG (27 - 22) W -- Wk#10: PIT at WAS (28 - 27) L
Power Ranking: 11

My Calc: 13.8
Power Diff: 15
Home Odds: 10

Pick #14

Matchup: TEN at HOU

My Pick: HOU

Away Team: TEN (2-7)
Outlook: The team made numerous errors in their defeat against the Vikings. Despite the lack of points, the offense displayed some promising signs of improvement.
Wk#1: TEN at CHI (17 - 24) L -- Wk#2: NYJ at TEN (24 - 17) L -- Wk#3: GB at TEN (30 - 14) L -- Wk#4: TEN at MIA (31 - 12) W -- Wk#6: IND at TEN (20 - 17) L -- Wk#7: TEN at BUF (10 - 34) L -- Wk#8: TEN at DET (14 - 52) L -- Wk#9: NE at TEN (17 - 20) W -- Wk#10: TEN at LAC (17 - 27) L
Power Ranking: 29

Home Team: HOU (6-4)
Outlook: After a win against the Cowboys on Monday night, it appears this NFL team has made some positive improvements. The return of Nico Collins provides a significant boost to the team's offensive capabilities.
Wk#1: HOU at IND (29 - 27) W -- Wk#2: CHI at HOU (13 - 19) W -- Wk#3: HOU at MIN (7 - 34) L -- Wk#4: JAX at HOU (20 - 24) W -- Wk#5: BUF at HOU (20 - 23) W -- Wk#6: HOU at NE (41 - 21) W -- Wk#7: HOU at GB (22 - 24) L -- Wk#8: IND at HOU (20 - 23) W -- Wk#9: HOU at NYJ (13 - 21) L -- Wk#10: DET at HOU (26 - 23) L
Power Ranking: 13

My Calc: 11.5
Power Diff: 16
Home Odds: 7.5

Pick #13

Matchup: DET at IND

My Pick: DET

Away Team: DET (8-1)
Outlook: On Sunday, they dominated the Jaguars to revitalize their offense. They are currently leading the NFC as the top seed and are on a winning streak.
Wk#1: LA at DET (20 - 26) W -- Wk#2: TB at DET (20 - 16) L -- Wk#3: DET at ARI (20 - 13) W -- Wk#4: SEA at DET (29 - 42) W -- Wk#6: DET at DAL (47 - 9) W -- Wk#7: DET at MIN (31 - 29) W -- Wk#8: TEN at DET (14 - 52) W -- Wk#9: DET at GB (24 - 14) W -- Wk#10: DET at HOU (26 - 23) W
Power Ranking: 1

Home Team: IND (4-6)
Outlook: After showing significant improvement in his performance against the Jets, Anthony Richardson appears to have benefited from the time off. However, the team now needs to prepare to face the Lions next.
Wk#1: HOU at IND (29 - 27) L -- Wk#2: IND at GB (10 - 16) L -- Wk#3: CHI at IND (16 - 21) W -- Wk#4: PIT at IND (24 - 27) W -- Wk#5: IND at JAX (34 - 37) L -- Wk#6: IND at TEN (20 - 17) W -- Wk#7: MIA at IND (10 - 16) W -- Wk#8: IND at HOU (20 - 23) L -- Wk#9: IND at MIN (13 - 21) L -- Wk#10: BUF at IND (30 - 20) L
Power Ranking: 17

My Calc: -10.5
Power Diff: -16
Home Odds: -6.5

Pick #12

Matchup: PIT at CLE

My Pick: PIT

Away Team: PIT (7-2)
Outlook: In their recent win against the Ravens, the defense played a crucial role in securing the victory. However, it is clear that the team will need a stronger performance from Russell Wilson moving forward in order to continue their success.
Wk#1: PIT at ATL (18 - 10) W -- Wk#2: PIT at DEN (13 - 6) W -- Wk#3: LAC at PIT (10 - 20) W -- Wk#4: PIT at IND (24 - 27) L -- Wk#5: DAL at PIT (20 - 17) L -- Wk#6: PIT at LV (32 - 13) W -- Wk#7: NYJ at PIT (15 - 37) W -- Wk#8: NYG at PIT (18 - 26) W -- Wk#10: PIT at WAS (28 - 27) W
Power Ranking: 4

Home Team: CLE (2-7)
Outlook: The recent defeat against the Saints in New Orleans was disappointing for the team. The drop from a playoff contender to this level of performance is concerning.
Wk#1: DAL at CLE (33 - 17) L -- Wk#2: CLE at JAX (18 - 13) W -- Wk#3: NYG at CLE (21 - 15) L -- Wk#4: CLE at LV (16 - 20) L -- Wk#5: CLE at WAS (13 - 34) L -- Wk#6: CLE at PHI (16 - 20) L -- Wk#7: CIN at CLE (21 - 14) L -- Wk#8: BAL at CLE (24 - 29) W -- Wk#9: LAC at CLE (27 - 10) L
Power Ranking: 27

My Calc: -10.2
Power Diff: -23
Home Odds: -4.5

Pick #11

Matchup: MIN at CHI

My Pick: MIN

Away Team: MIN (7-2)
Outlook: After a couple of lackluster performances, Sam Darnold bounced back and had a strong showing against the Titans. It was reassuring for his team to see him play well after his recent struggles.
Wk#1: MIN at NYG (28 - 6) W -- Wk#2: SF at MIN (17 - 23) W -- Wk#3: HOU at MIN (7 - 34) W -- Wk#4: MIN at GB (31 - 29) W -- Wk#5: NYJ at MIN (17 - 23) W -- Wk#7: DET at MIN (31 - 29) L -- Wk#8: MIN at LA (20 - 30) L -- Wk#9: IND at MIN (13 - 21) W -- Wk#10: MIN at JAX (12 - 7) W
Power Ranking: 6

Home Team: CHI (4-5)
Outlook: The NFL team showed improvement with a new offensive coordinator, but a defeat still brings disappointment. Fortunately, the performance of Caleb Williams showed promise for the team.
Wk#1: TEN at CHI (17 - 24) W -- Wk#2: CHI at HOU (13 - 19) L -- Wk#3: CHI at IND (16 - 21) L -- Wk#4: LA at CHI (18 - 24) W -- Wk#5: CAR at CHI (10 - 36) W -- Wk#6: JAX at CHI (16 - 35) W -- Wk#8: CHI at WAS (15 - 18) L -- Wk#9: CHI at ARI (9 - 29) L -- Wk#10: NE at CHI (19 - 3) L
Power Ranking: 22

My Calc: -9
Power Diff: -16
Home Odds: -5

Pick #10

Matchup: DEN at LV

My Pick: DEN

Away Team: DEN (5-5)
Outlook: This team has shown promising signs of potentially making a playoff run. Bo Nix continues to improve each week, adding depth to the team's already strong defense.
Wk#1: DEN at SEA (20 - 26) L -- Wk#2: PIT at DEN (13 - 6) L -- Wk#3: DEN at TB (26 - 7) W -- Wk#4: DEN at NYJ (10 - 9) W -- Wk#5: LV at DEN (18 - 34) W -- Wk#6: LAC at DEN (23 - 16) L -- Wk#7: DEN at NO (33 - 10) W -- Wk#8: CAR at DEN (14 - 28) W -- Wk#9: DEN at BAL (10 - 41) L -- Wk#10: DEN at KC (14 - 16) L
Power Ranking: 12

Home Team: LV (2-7)
Outlook: The team would benefit from having more players with the skillset of Brock Bowers and Maxx Crosby. It is likely that there will be roster changes in the near future.
Wk#1: LV at LAC (10 - 22) L -- Wk#2: LV at BAL (26 - 23) W -- Wk#3: CAR at LV (36 - 22) L -- Wk#4: CLE at LV (16 - 20) W -- Wk#5: LV at DEN (18 - 34) L -- Wk#6: PIT at LV (32 - 13) L -- Wk#7: LV at LA (15 - 20) L -- Wk#8: KC at LV (27 - 20) L -- Wk#9: LV at CIN (24 - 41) L
Power Ranking: 31

My Calc: -7.8
Power Diff: -19
Home Odds: -3

Pick #9

Matchup: NE at MIA

My Pick: MIA

Away Team: NE (3-7)
Outlook: Drake Maye's development shows promise for this NFL team, despite an end to their season. The team continues to show resilience and determination in their battles on the field.
Wk#1: NE at CIN (16 - 10) W -- Wk#2: SEA at NE (23 - 20) L -- Wk#3: NE at NYJ (3 - 24) L -- Wk#4: NE at SF (13 - 30) L -- Wk#5: MIA at NE (15 - 10) L -- Wk#6: HOU at NE (41 - 21) L -- Wk#7: NE at JAX (16 - 32) L -- Wk#8: NYJ at NE (22 - 25) W -- Wk#9: NE at TEN (17 - 20) L -- Wk#10: NE at CHI (19 - 3) W
Power Ranking: 23

Home Team: MIA (3-6)
Outlook: They have momentum on their side as they continue their push for a playoff berth. Back-to-back wins against the Rams and Raiders have kept their postseason hopes alive.
Wk#1: JAX at MIA (17 - 20) W -- Wk#2: BUF at MIA (31 - 10) L -- Wk#3: MIA at SEA (3 - 24) L -- Wk#4: TEN at MIA (31 - 12) L -- Wk#5: MIA at NE (15 - 10) W -- Wk#7: MIA at IND (10 - 16) L -- Wk#8: ARI at MIA (28 - 27) L -- Wk#9: MIA at BUF (27 - 30) L -- Wk#10: MIA at LA (23 - 15) W
Power Ranking: 21

My Calc: 7
Power Diff: 2
Home Odds: 6.5

Pick #8

Matchup: TB at NYG

My Pick: TB

Away Team: TB (4-6)
Outlook: After a restful bye week, the team is ready to capitalize on the Falcons' recent defeat and fight for a spot in the playoffs. Their upcoming schedule offers a good opportunity to secure important victories, but only if they can maintain their health and remain strong on the field.
Wk#1: WAS at TB (20 - 37) W -- Wk#2: TB at DET (20 - 16) W -- Wk#3: DEN at TB (26 - 7) L -- Wk#4: PHI at TB (16 - 33) W -- Wk#5: TB at ATL (30 - 36) L -- Wk#6: TB at NO (51 - 27) W -- Wk#7: BAL at TB (41 - 31) L -- Wk#8: ATL at TB (31 - 26) L -- Wk#9: TB at KC (24 - 30) L -- Wk#10: SF at TB (23 - 20) L
Power Ranking: 19

Home Team: NYG (2-8)
Outlook: Deciding to bench Daniel Jones based on financial considerations appears logical. Now, the spotlight is on Tommy Devito for a potential breakthrough. However, the question remains - can he deliver on the field?
Wk#1: MIN at NYG (28 - 6) L -- Wk#2: NYG at WAS (18 - 21) L -- Wk#3: NYG at CLE (21 - 15) W -- Wk#4: DAL at NYG (20 - 15) L -- Wk#5: NYG at SEA (29 - 20) W -- Wk#6: CIN at NYG (17 - 7) L -- Wk#7: PHI at NYG (28 - 3) L -- Wk#8: NYG at PIT (18 - 26) L -- Wk#9: WAS at NYG (27 - 22) L -- Wk#10: NYG at CAR (17 - 20) L
Power Ranking: 30

My Calc: -5.8
Power Diff: -11
Home Odds: -3

Pick #7

Matchup: PHI at LA

My Pick: PHI

Away Team: PHI (7-2)
Outlook: After making significant improvements, the team now holds a strong position in the NFC East. Is there still a clamor for Nick Sirianni to be let go?
Wk#1: GB at PHI (29 - 34) W -- Wk#2: ATL at PHI (22 - 21) L -- Wk#3: PHI at NO (15 - 12) W -- Wk#4: PHI at TB (16 - 33) L -- Wk#6: CLE at PHI (16 - 20) W -- Wk#7: PHI at NYG (28 - 3) W -- Wk#8: PHI at CIN (37 - 17) W -- Wk#9: JAX at PHI (23 - 28) W -- Wk#10: PHI at DAL (34 - 6) W
Power Ranking: 5

Home Team: LA (4-5)
Outlook: After rebounding from a defeat against the Dolphins, the team secured a hard-fought win on the road against New England. They are currently in the midst of a competitive race within their division.
Wk#1: LA at DET (20 - 26) L -- Wk#2: LA at ARI (10 - 41) L -- Wk#3: SF at LA (24 - 27) W -- Wk#4: LA at CHI (18 - 24) L -- Wk#5: GB at LA (24 - 19) L -- Wk#7: LV at LA (15 - 20) W -- Wk#8: MIN at LA (20 - 30) W -- Wk#9: LA at SEA (26 - 20) W -- Wk#10: MIA at LA (23 - 15) L
Power Ranking: 18

My Calc: -5.8
Power Diff: -13
Home Odds: -2.5

Pick #6

Matchup: BAL at LAC

My Pick: BAL

Away Team: BAL (7-3)
Outlook: The performance of the offense was disappointing in the game against the Steelers, seemingly causing Lamar Jackson to struggle.
Wk#1: BAL at KC (20 - 27) L -- Wk#2: LV at BAL (26 - 23) L -- Wk#3: BAL at DAL (28 - 25) W -- Wk#4: BUF at BAL (10 - 35) W -- Wk#5: BAL at CIN (41 - 38) W -- Wk#6: WAS at BAL (23 - 30) W -- Wk#7: BAL at TB (41 - 31) W -- Wk#8: BAL at CLE (24 - 29) L -- Wk#9: DEN at BAL (10 - 41) W -- Wk#10: CIN at BAL (34 - 35) W
Power Ranking: 7

Home Team: LAC (6-3)
Outlook: Under the leadership of Jim Harbaugh, the team is showing strong performance on the field. In a recent game against the Bengals, the defense showed some weaknesses, but overall, they have proven to be a strong unit.
Wk#1: LV at LAC (10 - 22) W -- Wk#2: LAC at CAR (26 - 3) W -- Wk#3: LAC at PIT (10 - 20) L -- Wk#4: KC at LAC (17 - 10) L -- Wk#6: LAC at DEN (23 - 16) W -- Wk#7: LAC at ARI (15 - 17) L -- Wk#8: NO at LAC (8 - 26) W -- Wk#9: LAC at CLE (27 - 10) W -- Wk#10: TEN at LAC (17 - 27) W
Power Ranking: 9

My Calc: -3.5
Power Diff: -2
Home Odds: -3

Pick #5

Matchup: SF at GB

My Pick: GB

Away Team: SF (5-4)
Outlook: Injuries have taken a toll on this NFL team, but they also seem to be underperforming compared to preseason expectations.
Wk#1: NYJ at SF (19 - 32) W -- Wk#2: SF at MIN (17 - 23) L -- Wk#3: SF at LA (24 - 27) L -- Wk#4: NE at SF (13 - 30) W -- Wk#5: ARI at SF (24 - 23) L -- Wk#6: SF at SEA (36 - 24) W -- Wk#7: KC at SF (28 - 18) L -- Wk#8: DAL at SF (24 - 30) W -- Wk#10: SF at TB (23 - 20) W
Power Ranking: 15

Home Team: GB (6-3)
Outlook: The team narrowly secured a victory over the Bears thanks to a fortunate blocked kick. Although the offense hasn't quite found its rhythm yet, there is potential for improvement. Their next challenge will be against the formidable 49ers this week.
Wk#1: GB at PHI (29 - 34) L -- Wk#2: IND at GB (10 - 16) W -- Wk#3: GB at TEN (30 - 14) W -- Wk#4: MIN at GB (31 - 29) L -- Wk#5: GB at LA (24 - 19) W -- Wk#6: ARI at GB (13 - 34) W -- Wk#7: HOU at GB (22 - 24) W -- Wk#8: GB at JAX (30 - 27) W -- Wk#9: DET at GB (24 - 14) L
Power Ranking: 8

My Calc: 2.8
Power Diff: 7
Home Odds: 1

Pick #4

Matchup: ARI at SEA

My Pick: SEA

Away Team: ARI (6-4)
Outlook: After their bye week, this team is currently leading their division and has a strong chance of coming out on top. Their upcoming schedule looks promising.
Wk#1: ARI at BUF (28 - 34) L -- Wk#2: LA at ARI (10 - 41) W -- Wk#3: DET at ARI (20 - 13) L -- Wk#4: WAS at ARI (42 - 14) L -- Wk#5: ARI at SF (24 - 23) W -- Wk#6: ARI at GB (13 - 34) L -- Wk#7: LAC at ARI (15 - 17) W -- Wk#8: ARI at MIA (28 - 27) W -- Wk#9: CHI at ARI (9 - 29) W -- Wk#10: NYJ at ARI (6 - 31) W
Power Ranking: 10

Home Team: SEA (4-5)
Outlook: After a much-needed win against the 49ers, the team's defense demonstrated marked improvement following their bye week.
Wk#1: DEN at SEA (20 - 26) W -- Wk#2: SEA at NE (23 - 20) W -- Wk#3: MIA at SEA (3 - 24) W -- Wk#4: SEA at DET (29 - 42) L -- Wk#5: NYG at SEA (29 - 20) L -- Wk#6: SF at SEA (36 - 24) L -- Wk#7: SEA at ATL (34 - 14) W -- Wk#8: BUF at SEA (31 - 10) L -- Wk#9: LA at SEA (26 - 20) L
Power Ranking: 14

My Calc: 0
Power Diff: -4
Home Odds: 1

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