NFL PickEm

I have been playing PickEm for nearly a decade, and I am so addicted to it. It is just the right amount of analysis and luck that it drives the engineer in me crazy... but it is so much fun. There are so many weeks that I am just one play away from a win, and then boom, it happens and I come in second. Then that magic week happens and everything falls into place, and I am the winner and on top of the clouds. I have worked for years on developing this system and I have done well with it. I hope you find it useful.

Folder Week: week_16

NFL PickEm Week 16

Pick #16

Matchup: NE at BUF

My Pick: BUF

Away Team: NE (3-11)
Outlook: They’ve still got to play the Bills. Twice.
Wk#1: NE at CIN (16 - 10) W -- Wk#2: SEA at NE (23 - 20) L -- Wk#3: NE at NYJ (3 - 24) L -- Wk#4: NE at SF (13 - 30) L -- Wk#5: MIA at NE (15 - 10) L -- Wk#6: HOU at NE (41 - 21) L -- Wk#7: NE at JAX (16 - 32) L -- Wk#8: NYJ at NE (22 - 25) W -- Wk#9: NE at TEN (17 - 20) L -- Wk#10: NE at CHI (19 - 3) W -- Wk#11: LA at NE (28 - 22) L -- Wk#12: NE at MIA (15 - 34) L -- Wk#13: IND at NE (25 - 24) L -- Wk#15: NE at ARI (17 - 30) L
Power Ranking: 29
Home Team: BUF (11-3)
Outlook: They’re 2-0 against the Chiefs and Lions. The rest of the league is 2-24 against those teams.
Wk#1: ARI at BUF (28 - 34) W -- Wk#2: BUF at MIA (31 - 10) W -- Wk#3: JAX at BUF (10 - 47) W -- Wk#4: BUF at BAL (10 - 35) L -- Wk#5: BUF at HOU (20 - 23) L -- Wk#6: BUF at NYJ (23 - 20) W -- Wk#7: TEN at BUF (10 - 34) W -- Wk#8: BUF at SEA (31 - 10) W -- Wk#9: MIA at BUF (27 - 30) W -- Wk#10: BUF at IND (30 - 20) W -- Wk#11: KC at BUF (21 - 30) W -- Wk#13: SF at BUF (10 - 35) W -- Wk#14: BUF at LA (42 - 44) L -- Wk#15: BUF at DET (48 - 42) W
Power Ranking: 2
My Calc: 20.8
Power Diff: 27
Home Odds: 14

Pick #15

Matchup: NO at GB

My Pick: GB

Away Team: NO (5-9)
Outlook: They’re playing hard for Darren Rizzi, which should count for something.
Wk#1: CAR at NO (10 - 47) W -- Wk#2: NO at DAL (44 - 19) W -- Wk#3: PHI at NO (15 - 12) L -- Wk#4: NO at ATL (24 - 26) L -- Wk#5: NO at KC (13 - 26) L -- Wk#6: TB at NO (51 - 27) L -- Wk#7: DEN at NO (33 - 10) L -- Wk#8: NO at LAC (8 - 26) L -- Wk#9: NO at CAR (22 - 23) L -- Wk#10: ATL at NO (17 - 20) W -- Wk#11: CLE at NO (14 - 35) W -- Wk#13: LA at NO (21 - 14) L -- Wk#14: NO at NYG (14 - 11) W -- Wk#15: WAS at NO (20 - 19) L
Power Ranking: 23
Home Team: GB (10-4)
Outlook: Another year, another late-season surge that might carry them deep into January.
Wk#1: GB at PHI (29 - 34) L -- Wk#2: IND at GB (10 - 16) W -- Wk#3: GB at TEN (30 - 14) W -- Wk#4: MIN at GB (31 - 29) L -- Wk#5: GB at LA (24 - 19) W -- Wk#6: ARI at GB (13 - 34) W -- Wk#7: HOU at GB (22 - 24) W -- Wk#8: GB at JAX (30 - 27) W -- Wk#9: DET at GB (24 - 14) L -- Wk#11: GB at CHI (20 - 19) W -- Wk#12: SF at GB (10 - 38) W -- Wk#13: MIA at GB (17 - 30) W -- Wk#14: GB at DET (31 - 34) L -- Wk#15: GB at SEA (30 - 13) W
Power Ranking: 6
My Calc: 18.2
Power Diff: 17
Home Odds: 14

Pick #14

Matchup: NYG at ATL

My Pick: ATL

Away Team: NYG (2-12)
Outlook: Maybe it wasn’t Daniel Jones’s fault.
Wk#1: MIN at NYG (28 - 6) L -- Wk#2: NYG at WAS (18 - 21) L -- Wk#3: NYG at CLE (21 - 15) W -- Wk#4: DAL at NYG (20 - 15) L -- Wk#5: NYG at SEA (29 - 20) W -- Wk#6: CIN at NYG (17 - 7) L -- Wk#7: PHI at NYG (28 - 3) L -- Wk#8: NYG at PIT (18 - 26) L -- Wk#9: WAS at NYG (27 - 22) L -- Wk#10: NYG at CAR (17 - 20) L -- Wk#12: TB at NYG (30 - 7) L -- Wk#13: NYG at DAL (20 - 27) L -- Wk#14: NO at NYG (14 - 11) L -- Wk#15: BAL at NYG (35 - 14) L
Power Ranking: 32
Home Team: ATL (7-7)
Outlook: Is the hook coming for Captain Kirk?
Wk#1: PIT at ATL (18 - 10) L -- Wk#2: ATL at PHI (22 - 21) W -- Wk#3: KC at ATL (22 - 17) L -- Wk#4: NO at ATL (24 - 26) W -- Wk#5: TB at ATL (30 - 36) W -- Wk#6: ATL at CAR (38 - 20) W -- Wk#7: SEA at ATL (34 - 14) L -- Wk#8: ATL at TB (31 - 26) W -- Wk#9: DAL at ATL (21 - 27) W -- Wk#10: ATL at NO (17 - 20) L -- Wk#11: ATL at DEN (6 - 38) L -- Wk#13: LAC at ATL (17 - 13) L -- Wk#14: ATL at MIN (21 - 42) L -- Wk#15: ATL at LV (15 - 9) W
Power Ranking: 18
My Calc: 12
Power Diff: 14
Home Odds: 8.5

Pick #13

Matchup: DET at CHI

My Pick: DET

Away Team: DET (12-2)
Outlook: Next man up, meet Old Mother Hubbard.
Wk#1: LA at DET (20 - 26) W -- Wk#2: TB at DET (20 - 16) L -- Wk#3: DET at ARI (20 - 13) W -- Wk#4: SEA at DET (29 - 42) W -- Wk#6: DET at DAL (47 - 9) W -- Wk#7: DET at MIN (31 - 29) W -- Wk#8: TEN at DET (14 - 52) W -- Wk#9: DET at GB (24 - 14) W -- Wk#10: DET at HOU (26 - 23) W -- Wk#11: JAX at DET (6 - 52) W -- Wk#12: DET at IND (24 - 6) W -- Wk#13: CHI at DET (20 - 23) W -- Wk#14: GB at DET (31 - 34) W -- Wk#15: BUF at DET (48 - 42) L
Power Ranking: 5
Home Team: CHI (4-10)
Outlook: The Bears aren’t who we thought they were going to be.
Wk#1: TEN at CHI (17 - 24) W -- Wk#2: CHI at HOU (13 - 19) L -- Wk#3: CHI at IND (16 - 21) L -- Wk#4: LA at CHI (18 - 24) W -- Wk#5: CAR at CHI (10 - 36) W -- Wk#6: JAX at CHI (16 - 35) W -- Wk#8: CHI at WAS (15 - 18) L -- Wk#9: CHI at ARI (9 - 29) L -- Wk#10: NE at CHI (19 - 3) L -- Wk#11: GB at CHI (20 - 19) L -- Wk#12: MIN at CHI (30 - 27) L -- Wk#13: CHI at DET (20 - 23) L -- Wk#14: CHI at SF (13 - 38) L -- Wk#15: CHI at MIN (12 - 30) L
Power Ranking: 24
My Calc: -11.2
Power Diff: -19
Home Odds: -6.5

Pick #12

Matchup: CLE at CIN

My Pick: CIN

Away Team: CLE (3-11)
Outlook: At this point, a strategic tank makes a ton of sense.
Wk#1: DAL at CLE (33 - 17) L -- Wk#2: CLE at JAX (18 - 13) W -- Wk#3: NYG at CLE (21 - 15) L -- Wk#4: CLE at LV (16 - 20) L -- Wk#5: CLE at WAS (13 - 34) L -- Wk#6: CLE at PHI (16 - 20) L -- Wk#7: CIN at CLE (21 - 14) L -- Wk#8: BAL at CLE (24 - 29) W -- Wk#9: LAC at CLE (27 - 10) L -- Wk#11: CLE at NO (14 - 35) L -- Wk#12: PIT at CLE (19 - 24) W -- Wk#13: CLE at DEN (32 - 41) L -- Wk#14: CLE at PIT (14 - 27) L -- Wk#15: KC at CLE (21 - 7) L
Power Ranking: 27
Home Team: CIN (6-8)
Outlook: If the Bengals can somehow finagle a playoff berth, they could finagle a Super Bowl berth.
Wk#1: NE at CIN (16 - 10) L -- Wk#2: CIN at KC (25 - 26) L -- Wk#3: WAS at CIN (38 - 33) L -- Wk#4: CIN at CAR (34 - 24) W -- Wk#5: BAL at CIN (41 - 38) L -- Wk#6: CIN at NYG (17 - 7) W -- Wk#7: CIN at CLE (21 - 14) W -- Wk#8: PHI at CIN (37 - 17) L -- Wk#9: LV at CIN (24 - 41) W -- Wk#10: CIN at BAL (34 - 35) L -- Wk#11: CIN at LAC (27 - 34) L -- Wk#13: PIT at CIN (44 - 38) L -- Wk#14: CIN at DAL (27 - 20) W -- Wk#15: CIN at TEN (37 - 27) W
Power Ranking: 17
My Calc: 10
Power Diff: 10
Home Odds: 7.5

Pick #11

Matchup: ARI at CAR

My Pick: ARI

Away Team: ARI (7-7)
Outlook: They’re not done yet, but they’re running out of time.
Wk#1: ARI at BUF (28 - 34) L -- Wk#2: LA at ARI (10 - 41) W -- Wk#3: DET at ARI (20 - 13) L -- Wk#4: WAS at ARI (42 - 14) L -- Wk#5: ARI at SF (24 - 23) W -- Wk#6: ARI at GB (13 - 34) L -- Wk#7: LAC at ARI (15 - 17) W -- Wk#8: ARI at MIA (28 - 27) W -- Wk#9: CHI at ARI (9 - 29) W -- Wk#10: NYJ at ARI (6 - 31) W -- Wk#12: ARI at SEA (6 - 16) L -- Wk#13: ARI at MIN (22 - 23) L -- Wk#14: SEA at ARI (30 - 18) L -- Wk#15: NE at ARI (17 - 30) W
Power Ranking: 16
Home Team: CAR (3-11)
Outlook: They still have a long way to go.
Wk#1: CAR at NO (10 - 47) L -- Wk#2: LAC at CAR (26 - 3) L -- Wk#3: CAR at LV (36 - 22) W -- Wk#4: CIN at CAR (34 - 24) L -- Wk#5: CAR at CHI (10 - 36) L -- Wk#6: ATL at CAR (38 - 20) L -- Wk#7: CAR at WAS (7 - 40) L -- Wk#8: CAR at DEN (14 - 28) L -- Wk#9: NO at CAR (22 - 23) W -- Wk#10: NYG at CAR (17 - 20) W -- Wk#12: KC at CAR (30 - 27) L -- Wk#13: TB at CAR (26 - 23) L -- Wk#14: CAR at PHI (16 - 22) L -- Wk#15: DAL at CAR (30 - 14) L
Power Ranking: 26
My Calc: -7.5
Power Diff: -10
Home Odds: -5

Pick #10

Matchup: PIT at BAL

My Pick: BAL

Away Team: PIT (10-4)
Outlook: They need to prove they can beat an elite team. They have two coming up in the next eight days.
Wk#1: PIT at ATL (18 - 10) W -- Wk#2: PIT at DEN (13 - 6) W -- Wk#3: LAC at PIT (10 - 20) W -- Wk#4: PIT at IND (24 - 27) L -- Wk#5: DAL at PIT (20 - 17) L -- Wk#6: PIT at LV (32 - 13) W -- Wk#7: NYJ at PIT (15 - 37) W -- Wk#8: NYG at PIT (18 - 26) W -- Wk#10: PIT at WAS (28 - 27) W -- Wk#11: BAL at PIT (16 - 18) W -- Wk#12: PIT at CLE (19 - 24) L -- Wk#13: PIT at CIN (44 - 38) W -- Wk#14: CLE at PIT (14 - 27) W -- Wk#15: PIT at PHI (13 - 27) L
Power Ranking: 8
Home Team: BAL (9-5)
Outlook: They’ll go as far as Lamar Jackson can take them. This year, it could be farther than he ever has.
Wk#1: BAL at KC (20 - 27) L -- Wk#2: LV at BAL (26 - 23) L -- Wk#3: BAL at DAL (28 - 25) W -- Wk#4: BUF at BAL (10 - 35) W -- Wk#5: BAL at CIN (41 - 38) W -- Wk#6: WAS at BAL (23 - 30) W -- Wk#7: BAL at TB (41 - 31) W -- Wk#8: BAL at CLE (24 - 29) L -- Wk#9: DEN at BAL (10 - 41) W -- Wk#10: CIN at BAL (34 - 35) W -- Wk#11: BAL at PIT (16 - 18) L -- Wk#12: BAL at LAC (30 - 23) W -- Wk#13: PHI at BAL (24 - 19) L -- Wk#15: BAL at NYG (35 - 14) W
Power Ranking: 7
My Calc: 6.8
Power Diff: 1
Home Odds: 6.5

Pick #9

Matchup: TB at DAL

My Pick: TB

Away Team: TB (8-6)
Outlook: They’re peaking again, at the perfect time.
Wk#1: WAS at TB (20 - 37) W -- Wk#2: TB at DET (20 - 16) W -- Wk#3: DEN at TB (26 - 7) L -- Wk#4: PHI at TB (16 - 33) W -- Wk#5: TB at ATL (30 - 36) L -- Wk#6: TB at NO (51 - 27) W -- Wk#7: BAL at TB (41 - 31) L -- Wk#8: ATL at TB (31 - 26) L -- Wk#9: TB at KC (24 - 30) L -- Wk#10: SF at TB (23 - 20) L -- Wk#12: TB at NYG (30 - 7) W -- Wk#13: TB at CAR (26 - 23) W -- Wk#14: LV at TB (13 - 28) W -- Wk#15: TB at LAC (40 - 17) W
Power Ranking: 11
Home Team: DAL (6-8)
Outlook: They’re playing well enough to get Mike McCarthy another year.
Wk#1: DAL at CLE (33 - 17) W -- Wk#2: NO at DAL (44 - 19) L -- Wk#3: BAL at DAL (28 - 25) L -- Wk#4: DAL at NYG (20 - 15) W -- Wk#5: DAL at PIT (20 - 17) W -- Wk#6: DET at DAL (47 - 9) L -- Wk#8: DAL at SF (24 - 30) L -- Wk#9: DAL at ATL (21 - 27) L -- Wk#10: PHI at DAL (34 - 6) L -- Wk#11: HOU at DAL (34 - 10) L -- Wk#12: DAL at WAS (34 - 26) W -- Wk#13: NYG at DAL (20 - 27) W -- Wk#14: CIN at DAL (27 - 20) L -- Wk#15: DAL at CAR (30 - 14) W
Power Ranking: 21
My Calc: -6.5
Power Diff: -10
Home Odds: -4

Pick #8

Matchup: TEN at IND

My Pick: IND

Away Team: TEN (3-11)
Outlook: Hold the mayo.
Wk#1: TEN at CHI (17 - 24) L -- Wk#2: NYJ at TEN (24 - 17) L -- Wk#3: GB at TEN (30 - 14) L -- Wk#4: TEN at MIA (31 - 12) W -- Wk#6: IND at TEN (20 - 17) L -- Wk#7: TEN at BUF (10 - 34) L -- Wk#8: TEN at DET (14 - 52) L -- Wk#9: NE at TEN (17 - 20) W -- Wk#10: TEN at LAC (17 - 27) L -- Wk#11: MIN at TEN (23 - 13) L -- Wk#12: TEN at HOU (32 - 27) W -- Wk#13: TEN at WAS (19 - 42) L -- Wk#14: JAX at TEN (10 - 6) L -- Wk#15: CIN at TEN (37 - 27) L
Power Ranking: 30
Home Team: IND (6-8)
Outlook: They’re not good enough to overcome so many self-inflicted wounds.
Wk#1: HOU at IND (29 - 27) L -- Wk#2: IND at GB (10 - 16) L -- Wk#3: CHI at IND (16 - 21) W -- Wk#4: PIT at IND (24 - 27) W -- Wk#5: IND at JAX (34 - 37) L -- Wk#6: IND at TEN (20 - 17) W -- Wk#7: MIA at IND (10 - 16) W -- Wk#8: IND at HOU (20 - 23) L -- Wk#9: IND at MIN (13 - 21) L -- Wk#10: BUF at IND (30 - 20) L -- Wk#11: IND at NYJ (28 - 27) W -- Wk#12: DET at IND (24 - 6) L -- Wk#13: IND at NE (25 - 24) W -- Wk#15: IND at DEN (13 - 31) L
Power Ranking: 19
My Calc: 6.2
Power Diff: 11
Home Odds: 3.5

Pick #7

Matchup: LA at NYJ

My Pick: LA

Away Team: LA (8-6)
Outlook: They can beat anyone in the NFC playoff field. Which means everyone in the NFC playoff field should hope they don’t get in.
Wk#1: LA at DET (20 - 26) L -- Wk#2: LA at ARI (10 - 41) L -- Wk#3: SF at LA (24 - 27) W -- Wk#4: LA at CHI (18 - 24) L -- Wk#5: GB at LA (24 - 19) L -- Wk#7: LV at LA (15 - 20) W -- Wk#8: MIN at LA (20 - 30) W -- Wk#9: LA at SEA (26 - 20) W -- Wk#10: MIA at LA (23 - 15) L -- Wk#11: LA at NE (28 - 22) W -- Wk#12: PHI at LA (37 - 20) L -- Wk#13: LA at NO (21 - 14) W -- Wk#14: BUF at LA (42 - 44) W -- Wk#15: LA at SF (12 - 6) W
Power Ranking: 13
Home Team: NYJ (4-10)
Outlook: Just when Jets fans are hoping for improved draft position, they win.
Wk#1: NYJ at SF (19 - 32) L -- Wk#2: NYJ at TEN (24 - 17) W -- Wk#3: NE at NYJ (3 - 24) W -- Wk#4: DEN at NYJ (10 - 9) L -- Wk#5: NYJ at MIN (17 - 23) L -- Wk#6: BUF at NYJ (23 - 20) L -- Wk#7: NYJ at PIT (15 - 37) L -- Wk#8: NYJ at NE (22 - 25) L -- Wk#9: HOU at NYJ (13 - 21) W -- Wk#10: NYJ at ARI (6 - 31) L -- Wk#11: IND at NYJ (28 - 27) L -- Wk#13: SEA at NYJ (26 - 21) L -- Wk#14: NYJ at MIA (26 - 32) L -- Wk#15: NYJ at JAX (32 - 25) W
Power Ranking: 25
My Calc: -6
Power Diff: -12
Home Odds: -3

Pick #6

Matchup: HOU at KC

My Pick: KC

Away Team: HOU (9-5)
Outlook: With the Chiefs and Ravens coming up, we’ll find out if they’re ready to win games they’re supposed to lose.
Wk#1: HOU at IND (29 - 27) W -- Wk#2: CHI at HOU (13 - 19) W -- Wk#3: HOU at MIN (7 - 34) L -- Wk#4: JAX at HOU (20 - 24) W -- Wk#5: BUF at HOU (20 - 23) W -- Wk#6: HOU at NE (41 - 21) W -- Wk#7: HOU at GB (22 - 24) L -- Wk#8: IND at HOU (20 - 23) W -- Wk#9: HOU at NYJ (13 - 21) L -- Wk#10: DET at HOU (26 - 23) L -- Wk#11: HOU at DAL (34 - 10) W -- Wk#12: TEN at HOU (32 - 27) L -- Wk#13: HOU at JAX (23 - 20) W -- Wk#15: MIA at HOU (12 - 20) W
Power Ranking: 12
Home Team: KC (13-1)
Outlook: Even if Patrick Mahomes can’t play, if anyone can get anything positive out of Carson Wentz, Andy Reid can.
Wk#1: BAL at KC (20 - 27) W -- Wk#2: CIN at KC (25 - 26) W -- Wk#3: KC at ATL (22 - 17) W -- Wk#4: KC at LAC (17 - 10) W -- Wk#5: NO at KC (13 - 26) W -- Wk#7: KC at SF (28 - 18) W -- Wk#8: KC at LV (27 - 20) W -- Wk#9: TB at KC (24 - 30) W -- Wk#10: DEN at KC (14 - 16) W -- Wk#11: KC at BUF (21 - 30) L -- Wk#12: KC at CAR (30 - 27) W -- Wk#13: LV at KC (17 - 19) W -- Wk#14: LAC at KC (17 - 19) W -- Wk#15: KC at CLE (21 - 7) W
Power Ranking: 3
My Calc: 5.8
Power Diff: 9
Home Odds: 3.5

Pick #5

Matchup: PHI at WAS

My Pick: PHI

Away Team: PHI (12-2)
Outlook: The Eagles are the latest team to perfect the formula of, (1) creating an internal issue, (2) having the media notice it and talk about it, (3) fixing the issue, and (4) blaming the media for it.
Wk#1: GB at PHI (29 - 34) W -- Wk#2: ATL at PHI (22 - 21) L -- Wk#3: PHI at NO (15 - 12) W -- Wk#4: PHI at TB (16 - 33) L -- Wk#6: CLE at PHI (16 - 20) W -- Wk#7: PHI at NYG (28 - 3) W -- Wk#8: PHI at CIN (37 - 17) W -- Wk#9: JAX at PHI (23 - 28) W -- Wk#10: PHI at DAL (34 - 6) W -- Wk#11: WAS at PHI (18 - 26) W -- Wk#12: PHI at LA (37 - 20) W -- Wk#13: PHI at BAL (24 - 19) W -- Wk#14: CAR at PHI (16 - 22) W -- Wk#15: PIT at PHI (13 - 27) W
Power Ranking: 1
Home Team: WAS (9-5)
Outlook: They managed to get some breathing room for the No. 7 seed. Barely.
Wk#1: WAS at TB (20 - 37) L -- Wk#2: NYG at WAS (18 - 21) W -- Wk#3: WAS at CIN (38 - 33) W -- Wk#4: WAS at ARI (42 - 14) W -- Wk#5: CLE at WAS (13 - 34) W -- Wk#6: WAS at BAL (23 - 30) L -- Wk#7: CAR at WAS (7 - 40) W -- Wk#8: CHI at WAS (15 - 18) W -- Wk#9: WAS at NYG (27 - 22) W -- Wk#10: PIT at WAS (28 - 27) L -- Wk#11: WAS at PHI (18 - 26) L -- Wk#12: DAL at WAS (34 - 26) L -- Wk#13: TEN at WAS (19 - 42) W -- Wk#15: WAS at NO (20 - 19) W
Power Ranking: 10
My Calc: -5.8
Power Diff: -9
Home Odds: -3.5

Pick #4

Matchup: MIN at SEA

My Pick: MIN

Away Team: MIN (12-2)
Outlook: They have a shot at their first 15-win season since Randy Moss’s rookie year.
Wk#1: MIN at NYG (28 - 6) W -- Wk#2: SF at MIN (17 - 23) W -- Wk#3: HOU at MIN (7 - 34) W -- Wk#4: MIN at GB (31 - 29) W -- Wk#5: NYJ at MIN (17 - 23) W -- Wk#7: DET at MIN (31 - 29) L -- Wk#8: MIN at LA (20 - 30) L -- Wk#9: IND at MIN (13 - 21) W -- Wk#10: MIN at JAX (12 - 7) W -- Wk#11: MIN at TEN (23 - 13) W -- Wk#12: MIN at CHI (30 - 27) W -- Wk#13: ARI at MIN (22 - 23) W -- Wk#14: ATL at MIN (21 - 42) W -- Wk#15: CHI at MIN (12 - 30) W
Power Ranking: 4
Home Team: SEA (8-6)
Outlook: They might need to unretire No. 12.
Wk#1: DEN at SEA (20 - 26) W -- Wk#2: SEA at NE (23 - 20) W -- Wk#3: MIA at SEA (3 - 24) W -- Wk#4: SEA at DET (29 - 42) L -- Wk#5: NYG at SEA (29 - 20) L -- Wk#6: SF at SEA (36 - 24) L -- Wk#7: SEA at ATL (34 - 14) W -- Wk#8: BUF at SEA (31 - 10) L -- Wk#9: LA at SEA (26 - 20) L -- Wk#11: SEA at SF (20 - 17) W -- Wk#12: ARI at SEA (6 - 16) W -- Wk#13: SEA at NYJ (26 - 21) W -- Wk#14: SEA at ARI (30 - 18) W -- Wk#15: GB at SEA (30 - 13) L
Power Ranking: 14
My Calc: -5.5
Power Diff: -10
Home Odds: -3

Pick #3

Matchup: SF at MIA

My Pick: SF

Away Team: SF (6-8)
Outlook: Sometimes, it’s your year. Sometimes, it’s just not.
Wk#1: NYJ at SF (19 - 32) W -- Wk#2: SF at MIN (17 - 23) L -- Wk#3: SF at LA (24 - 27) L -- Wk#4: NE at SF (13 - 30) W -- Wk#5: ARI at SF (24 - 23) L -- Wk#6: SF at SEA (36 - 24) W -- Wk#7: KC at SF (28 - 18) L -- Wk#8: DAL at SF (24 - 30) W -- Wk#10: SF at TB (23 - 20) W -- Wk#11: SEA at SF (20 - 17) L -- Wk#12: SF at GB (10 - 38) L -- Wk#13: SF at BUF (10 - 35) L -- Wk#14: CHI at SF (13 - 38) W -- Wk#15: LA at SF (12 - 6) L
Power Ranking: 20
Home Team: MIA (6-8)
Outlook: Tua has found his ceiling. And they can’t do much about it until 2027.
Wk#1: JAX at MIA (17 - 20) W -- Wk#2: BUF at MIA (31 - 10) L -- Wk#3: MIA at SEA (3 - 24) L -- Wk#4: TEN at MIA (31 - 12) L -- Wk#5: MIA at NE (15 - 10) W -- Wk#7: MIA at IND (10 - 16) L -- Wk#8: ARI at MIA (28 - 27) L -- Wk#9: MIA at BUF (27 - 30) L -- Wk#10: MIA at LA (23 - 15) W -- Wk#11: LV at MIA (19 - 34) W -- Wk#12: NE at MIA (15 - 34) W -- Wk#13: MIA at GB (17 - 30) L -- Wk#14: NYJ at MIA (26 - 32) W -- Wk#15: MIA at HOU (12 - 20) L
Power Ranking: 22
My Calc: -1.5
Power Diff: -2
Home Odds: -1

Pick #2

Matchup: DEN at LAC

My Pick: LAC

Away Team: DEN (9-5)
Outlook: Bo Nix had a bad day, and they still won by 23.
Wk#1: DEN at SEA (20 - 26) L -- Wk#2: PIT at DEN (13 - 6) L -- Wk#3: DEN at TB (26 - 7) W -- Wk#4: DEN at NYJ (10 - 9) W -- Wk#5: LV at DEN (18 - 34) W -- Wk#6: LAC at DEN (23 - 16) L -- Wk#7: DEN at NO (33 - 10) W -- Wk#8: CAR at DEN (14 - 28) W -- Wk#9: DEN at BAL (10 - 41) L -- Wk#10: DEN at KC (14 - 16) L -- Wk#11: ATL at DEN (6 - 38) W -- Wk#12: DEN at LV (29 - 19) W -- Wk#13: CLE at DEN (32 - 41) W -- Wk#15: IND at DEN (13 - 31) W
Power Ranking: 9
Home Team: LAC (8-6)
Outlook: The Judge Judy jinx is a thing.
Wk#1: LV at LAC (10 - 22) W -- Wk#2: LAC at CAR (26 - 3) W -- Wk#3: LAC at PIT (10 - 20) L -- Wk#4: KC at LAC (17 - 10) L -- Wk#6: LAC at DEN (23 - 16) W -- Wk#7: LAC at ARI (15 - 17) L -- Wk#8: NO at LAC (8 - 26) W -- Wk#9: LAC at CLE (27 - 10) W -- Wk#10: TEN at LAC (17 - 27) W -- Wk#11: CIN at LAC (27 - 34) W -- Wk#12: BAL at LAC (30 - 23) L -- Wk#13: LAC at ATL (17 - 13) W -- Wk#14: LAC at KC (17 - 19) L -- Wk#15: TB at LAC (40 - 17) L
Power Ranking: 15
My Calc: 1
Power Diff: -6
Home Odds: 2.5

Pick #1

Matchup: JAX at LV

My Pick: LV

Away Team: JAX (3-11)
Outlook: Will Mac Jones do enough down the stretch to get a chance to compete to play elsewhere?
Wk#1: JAX at MIA (17 - 20) L -- Wk#2: CLE at JAX (18 - 13) L -- Wk#3: JAX at BUF (10 - 47) L -- Wk#4: JAX at HOU (20 - 24) L -- Wk#5: IND at JAX (34 - 37) W -- Wk#6: JAX at CHI (16 - 35) L -- Wk#7: NE at JAX (16 - 32) W -- Wk#8: GB at JAX (30 - 27) L -- Wk#9: JAX at PHI (23 - 28) L -- Wk#10: MIN at JAX (12 - 7) L -- Wk#11: JAX at DET (6 - 52) L -- Wk#13: HOU at JAX (23 - 20) L -- Wk#14: JAX at TEN (10 - 6) W -- Wk#15: NYJ at JAX (32 - 25) L
Power Ranking: 28
Home Team: LV (2-12)
Outlook: They never had a chance this year.
Wk#1: LV at LAC (10 - 22) L -- Wk#2: LV at BAL (26 - 23) W -- Wk#3: CAR at LV (36 - 22) L -- Wk#4: CLE at LV (16 - 20) W -- Wk#5: LV at DEN (18 - 34) L -- Wk#6: PIT at LV (32 - 13) L -- Wk#7: LV at LA (15 - 20) L -- Wk#8: KC at LV (27 - 20) L -- Wk#9: LV at CIN (24 - 41) L -- Wk#11: LV at MIA (19 - 34) L -- Wk#12: DEN at LV (29 - 19) L -- Wk#13: LV at KC (17 - 19) L -- Wk#14: LV at TB (13 - 28) L -- Wk#15: ATL at LV (15 - 9) L
Power Ranking: 31
My Calc: 0.8
Power Diff: -3
Home Odds: 1.5

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