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NFL PickEm

I have been playing PickEm for nearly a decade, and I am so addicted to it. It is just the right amount of analysis and luck that it drives the engineer in me crazy... but it is so much fun. There are so many weeks that I am just one play away from a win, and then boom, it happens and I come in second. Then that magic week happens and everything falls into place, and I am the winner and on top of the clouds. I have worked for years on developing this system and I have done well with it. I hope you find it useful.

Folder Week: week_18

NFL PickEm Week 18

Pick #16

Matchup: CLE at BAL

My Pick: BAL

Away Team: CLE (3-13)
Outlook: If Deshaun Watson is the starter next year, the fans should move to Baltimore.
Wk#1: DAL at CLE (33 - 17) L -- Wk#2: CLE at JAX (18 - 13) W -- Wk#3: NYG at CLE (21 - 15) L -- Wk#4: CLE at LV (16 - 20) L -- Wk#5: CLE at WAS (13 - 34) L -- Wk#6: CLE at PHI (16 - 20) L -- Wk#7: CIN at CLE (21 - 14) L -- Wk#8: BAL at CLE (24 - 29) W -- Wk#9: LAC at CLE (27 - 10) L -- Wk#11: CLE at NO (14 - 35) L -- Wk#12: PIT at CLE (19 - 24) W -- Wk#13: CLE at DEN (32 - 41) L -- Wk#14: CLE at PIT (14 - 27) L -- Wk#15: KC at CLE (21 - 7) L -- Wk#16: CLE at CIN (6 - 24) L -- Wk#17: MIA at CLE (20 - 3) L
Power Ranking: 29

Home Team: BAL (11-5)
Outlook: Lamar Jackson gets to make his closing argument for MVP on Saturday.
Wk#1: BAL at KC (20 - 27) L -- Wk#2: LV at BAL (26 - 23) L -- Wk#3: BAL at DAL (28 - 25) W -- Wk#4: BUF at BAL (10 - 35) W -- Wk#5: BAL at CIN (41 - 38) W -- Wk#6: WAS at BAL (23 - 30) W -- Wk#7: BAL at TB (41 - 31) W -- Wk#8: BAL at CLE (24 - 29) L -- Wk#9: DEN at BAL (10 - 41) W -- Wk#10: CIN at BAL (34 - 35) W -- Wk#11: BAL at PIT (16 - 18) L -- Wk#12: BAL at LAC (30 - 23) W -- Wk#13: PHI at BAL (24 - 19) L -- Wk#15: BAL at NYG (35 - 14) W -- Wk#16: PIT at BAL (17 - 34) W -- Wk#17: BAL at HOU (31 - 2) W
Power Ranking: 6

My Calc: 25.2
Power Diff: 23
Home Odds: 19.5

Pick #15

Matchup: NO at TB

My Pick: TB

Away Team: NO (5-11)
Outlook: If next year’s starting quarterback is currently on the roster, next year won’t be much different than this year.
Wk#1: CAR at NO (10 - 47) W -- Wk#2: NO at DAL (44 - 19) W -- Wk#3: PHI at NO (15 - 12) L -- Wk#4: NO at ATL (24 - 26) L -- Wk#5: NO at KC (13 - 26) L -- Wk#6: TB at NO (51 - 27) L -- Wk#7: DEN at NO (33 - 10) L -- Wk#8: NO at LAC (8 - 26) L -- Wk#9: NO at CAR (22 - 23) L -- Wk#10: ATL at NO (17 - 20) W -- Wk#11: CLE at NO (14 - 35) W -- Wk#13: LA at NO (21 - 14) L -- Wk#14: NO at NYG (14 - 11) W -- Wk#15: WAS at NO (20 - 19) L -- Wk#16: NO at GB (0 - 34) L -- Wk#17: LV at NO (25 - 10) L
Power Ranking: 23

Home Team: TB (9-7)
Outlook: When they play to their potential, they are a problem.
Wk#1: WAS at TB (20 - 37) W -- Wk#2: TB at DET (20 - 16) W -- Wk#3: DEN at TB (26 - 7) L -- Wk#4: PHI at TB (16 - 33) W -- Wk#5: TB at ATL (30 - 36) L -- Wk#6: TB at NO (51 - 27) W -- Wk#7: BAL at TB (41 - 31) L -- Wk#8: ATL at TB (31 - 26) L -- Wk#9: TB at KC (24 - 30) L -- Wk#10: SF at TB (23 - 20) L -- Wk#12: TB at NYG (30 - 7) W -- Wk#13: TB at CAR (26 - 23) W -- Wk#14: LV at TB (13 - 28) W -- Wk#15: TB at LAC (40 - 17) W -- Wk#16: TB at DAL (24 - 26) L -- Wk#17: CAR at TB (14 - 48) W
Power Ranking: 13

My Calc: 16.5
Power Diff: 10
Home Odds: 14

Pick #14

Matchup: CHI at GB

My Pick: GB

Away Team: CHI (4-12)
Outlook: Give Ben Johnson a blank check.
Wk#1: TEN at CHI (17 - 24) W -- Wk#2: CHI at HOU (13 - 19) L -- Wk#3: CHI at IND (16 - 21) L -- Wk#4: LA at CHI (18 - 24) W -- Wk#5: CAR at CHI (10 - 36) W -- Wk#6: JAX at CHI (16 - 35) W -- Wk#8: CHI at WAS (15 - 18) L -- Wk#9: CHI at ARI (9 - 29) L -- Wk#10: NE at CHI (19 - 3) L -- Wk#11: GB at CHI (20 - 19) L -- Wk#12: MIN at CHI (30 - 27) L -- Wk#13: CHI at DET (20 - 23) L -- Wk#14: CHI at SF (13 - 38) L -- Wk#15: CHI at MIN (12 - 30) L -- Wk#16: DET at CHI (34 - 17) L -- Wk#17: SEA at CHI (6 - 3) L
Power Ranking: 24

Home Team: GB (11-5)
Outlook: The final score against the Vikings failed to reflect how badly they were outplayed.
Wk#1: GB at PHI (29 - 34) L -- Wk#2: IND at GB (10 - 16) W -- Wk#3: GB at TEN (30 - 14) W -- Wk#4: MIN at GB (31 - 29) L -- Wk#5: GB at LA (24 - 19) W -- Wk#6: ARI at GB (13 - 34) W -- Wk#7: HOU at GB (22 - 24) W -- Wk#8: GB at JAX (30 - 27) W -- Wk#9: DET at GB (24 - 14) L -- Wk#11: GB at CHI (20 - 19) W -- Wk#12: SF at GB (10 - 38) W -- Wk#13: MIA at GB (17 - 30) W -- Wk#14: GB at DET (31 - 34) L -- Wk#15: GB at SEA (30 - 13) W -- Wk#16: NO at GB (0 - 34) W -- Wk#17: GB at MIN (25 - 27) L
Power Ranking: 8

My Calc: 14
Power Diff: 16
Home Odds: 10

Pick #13

Matchup: CAR at ATL

My Pick: ATL

Away Team: CAR (4-12)
Outlook: The fact that “pesky and losing” is viewed as progress shows how far this franchise had fallen.
Wk#1: CAR at NO (10 - 47) L -- Wk#2: LAC at CAR (26 - 3) L -- Wk#3: CAR at LV (36 - 22) W -- Wk#4: CIN at CAR (34 - 24) L -- Wk#5: CAR at CHI (10 - 36) L -- Wk#6: ATL at CAR (38 - 20) L -- Wk#7: CAR at WAS (7 - 40) L -- Wk#8: CAR at DEN (14 - 28) L -- Wk#9: NO at CAR (22 - 23) W -- Wk#10: NYG at CAR (17 - 20) W -- Wk#12: KC at CAR (30 - 27) L -- Wk#13: TB at CAR (26 - 23) L -- Wk#14: CAR at PHI (16 - 22) L -- Wk#15: DAL at CAR (30 - 14) L -- Wk#16: ARI at CAR (30 - 36) W -- Wk#17: CAR at TB (14 - 48) L
Power Ranking: 27

Home Team: ATL (8-8)
Outlook: They’ll regret not taking that timeout for the rest of their time on earth.
Wk#1: PIT at ATL (18 - 10) L -- Wk#2: ATL at PHI (22 - 21) W -- Wk#3: KC at ATL (22 - 17) L -- Wk#4: NO at ATL (24 - 26) W -- Wk#5: TB at ATL (30 - 36) W -- Wk#6: ATL at CAR (38 - 20) W -- Wk#7: SEA at ATL (34 - 14) L -- Wk#8: ATL at TB (31 - 26) W -- Wk#9: DAL at ATL (21 - 27) W -- Wk#10: ATL at NO (17 - 20) L -- Wk#11: ATL at DEN (6 - 38) L -- Wk#13: LAC at ATL (17 - 13) L -- Wk#14: ATL at MIN (21 - 42) L -- Wk#15: ATL at LV (15 - 9) W -- Wk#16: NYG at ATL (7 - 34) W -- Wk#17: ATL at WAS (24 - 30) L
Power Ranking: 15

My Calc: 10.5
Power Diff: 12
Home Odds: 7.5

Pick #12

Matchup: BUF at NE

My Pick: BUF

Away Team: BUF (13-3)
Outlook: Are they ready to beat the Chiefs when it counts most?
Wk#1: ARI at BUF (28 - 34) W -- Wk#2: BUF at MIA (31 - 10) W -- Wk#3: JAX at BUF (10 - 47) W -- Wk#4: BUF at BAL (10 - 35) L -- Wk#5: BUF at HOU (20 - 23) L -- Wk#6: BUF at NYJ (23 - 20) W -- Wk#7: TEN at BUF (10 - 34) W -- Wk#8: BUF at SEA (31 - 10) W -- Wk#9: MIA at BUF (27 - 30) W -- Wk#10: BUF at IND (30 - 20) W -- Wk#11: KC at BUF (21 - 30) W -- Wk#13: SF at BUF (10 - 35) W -- Wk#14: BUF at LA (42 - 44) L -- Wk#15: BUF at DET (48 - 42) W -- Wk#16: NE at BUF (21 - 24) W -- Wk#17: NYJ at BUF (14 - 40) W
Power Ranking: 2

Home Team: NE (3-13)
Outlook: Is it lack of talent, lack of ability, or both?
Wk#1: NE at CIN (16 - 10) W -- Wk#2: SEA at NE (23 - 20) L -- Wk#3: NE at NYJ (3 - 24) L -- Wk#4: NE at SF (13 - 30) L -- Wk#5: MIA at NE (15 - 10) L -- Wk#6: HOU at NE (41 - 21) L -- Wk#7: NE at JAX (16 - 32) L -- Wk#8: NYJ at NE (22 - 25) W -- Wk#9: NE at TEN (17 - 20) L -- Wk#10: NE at CHI (19 - 3) W -- Wk#11: LA at NE (28 - 22) L -- Wk#12: NE at MIA (15 - 34) L -- Wk#13: IND at NE (25 - 24) L -- Wk#15: NE at ARI (17 - 30) L -- Wk#16: NE at BUF (21 - 24) L -- Wk#17: LAC at NE (40 - 7) L
Power Ranking: 30

My Calc: -10
Power Diff: -28
Home Odds: -3

Pick #11

Matchup: WAS at DAL

My Pick: WAS

Away Team: WAS (11-5)
Outlook: Never mind the presidency; Jayden Daniels is already the king of D.C.
Wk#1: WAS at TB (20 - 37) L -- Wk#2: NYG at WAS (18 - 21) W -- Wk#3: WAS at CIN (38 - 33) W -- Wk#4: WAS at ARI (42 - 14) W -- Wk#5: CLE at WAS (13 - 34) W -- Wk#6: WAS at BAL (23 - 30) L -- Wk#7: CAR at WAS (7 - 40) W -- Wk#8: CHI at WAS (15 - 18) W -- Wk#9: WAS at NYG (27 - 22) W -- Wk#10: PIT at WAS (28 - 27) L -- Wk#11: WAS at PHI (18 - 26) L -- Wk#12: DAL at WAS (34 - 26) L -- Wk#13: TEN at WAS (19 - 42) W -- Wk#15: WAS at NO (20 - 19) W -- Wk#16: PHI at WAS (33 - 36) W -- Wk#17: ATL at WAS (24 - 30) W
Power Ranking: 7

Home Team: DAL (7-9)
Outlook: If Mike McCarthy’s job truly hinges on beating the Commanders, maybe he shouldn’t want it.
Wk#1: DAL at CLE (33 - 17) W -- Wk#2: NO at DAL (44 - 19) L -- Wk#3: BAL at DAL (28 - 25) L -- Wk#4: DAL at NYG (20 - 15) W -- Wk#5: DAL at PIT (20 - 17) W -- Wk#6: DET at DAL (47 - 9) L -- Wk#8: DAL at SF (24 - 30) L -- Wk#9: DAL at ATL (21 - 27) L -- Wk#10: PHI at DAL (34 - 6) L -- Wk#11: HOU at DAL (34 - 10) L -- Wk#12: DAL at WAS (34 - 26) W -- Wk#13: NYG at DAL (20 - 27) W -- Wk#14: CIN at DAL (27 - 20) L -- Wk#15: DAL at CAR (30 - 14) W -- Wk#16: TB at DAL (24 - 26) W -- Wk#17: DAL at PHI (7 - 41) L
Power Ranking: 19

My Calc: -9.5
Power Diff: -12
Home Odds: -6.5

Pick #10

Matchup: NYG at PHI

My Pick: PHI

Away Team: NYG (3-13)
Outlook: It’s fitting that they’ll finish one of the worst seasons in franchise history by screwing up their shot at the first overall pick in the draft.
Wk#1: MIN at NYG (28 - 6) L -- Wk#2: NYG at WAS (18 - 21) L -- Wk#3: NYG at CLE (21 - 15) W -- Wk#4: DAL at NYG (20 - 15) L -- Wk#5: NYG at SEA (29 - 20) W -- Wk#6: CIN at NYG (17 - 7) L -- Wk#7: PHI at NYG (28 - 3) L -- Wk#8: NYG at PIT (18 - 26) L -- Wk#9: WAS at NYG (27 - 22) L -- Wk#10: NYG at CAR (17 - 20) L -- Wk#12: TB at NYG (30 - 7) L -- Wk#13: NYG at DAL (20 - 27) L -- Wk#14: NO at NYG (14 - 11) L -- Wk#15: BAL at NYG (35 - 14) L -- Wk#16: NYG at ATL (7 - 34) L -- Wk#17: IND at NYG (33 - 45) W
Power Ranking: 32

Home Team: PHI (13-3)
Outlook: The smart play will be to not play Saquon Barkley, even though he’s only 101 yards short of history.
Wk#1: GB at PHI (29 - 34) W -- Wk#2: ATL at PHI (22 - 21) L -- Wk#3: PHI at NO (15 - 12) W -- Wk#4: PHI at TB (16 - 33) L -- Wk#6: CLE at PHI (16 - 20) W -- Wk#7: PHI at NYG (28 - 3) W -- Wk#8: PHI at CIN (37 - 17) W -- Wk#9: JAX at PHI (23 - 28) W -- Wk#10: PHI at DAL (34 - 6) W -- Wk#11: WAS at PHI (18 - 26) W -- Wk#12: PHI at LA (37 - 20) W -- Wk#13: PHI at BAL (24 - 19) W -- Wk#14: CAR at PHI (16 - 22) W -- Wk#15: PIT at PHI (13 - 27) W -- Wk#16: PHI at WAS (33 - 36) L -- Wk#17: DAL at PHI (7 - 41) W
Power Ranking: 5

My Calc: 9.2
Power Diff: 27
Home Odds: 2.5

Pick #9

Matchup: LAC at LV

My Pick: LAC

Away Team: LAC (10-6)
Outlook: Can the Jolly Good Fellow finally fell his big brother in the wild-card round?
Wk#1: LV at LAC (10 - 22) W -- Wk#2: LAC at CAR (26 - 3) W -- Wk#3: LAC at PIT (10 - 20) L -- Wk#4: KC at LAC (17 - 10) L -- Wk#6: LAC at DEN (23 - 16) W -- Wk#7: LAC at ARI (15 - 17) L -- Wk#8: NO at LAC (8 - 26) W -- Wk#9: LAC at CLE (27 - 10) W -- Wk#10: TEN at LAC (17 - 27) W -- Wk#11: CIN at LAC (27 - 34) W -- Wk#12: BAL at LAC (30 - 23) L -- Wk#13: LAC at ATL (17 - 13) W -- Wk#14: LAC at KC (17 - 19) L -- Wk#15: TB at LAC (40 - 17) L -- Wk#16: DEN at LAC (27 - 34) W -- Wk#17: LAC at NE (40 - 7) W
Power Ranking: 9

Home Team: LV (4-12)
Outlook: If Tom Brady has a vote, Mike Vrabel will be the coach next year.
Wk#1: LV at LAC (10 - 22) L -- Wk#2: LV at BAL (26 - 23) W -- Wk#3: CAR at LV (36 - 22) L -- Wk#4: CLE at LV (16 - 20) W -- Wk#5: LV at DEN (18 - 34) L -- Wk#6: PIT at LV (32 - 13) L -- Wk#7: LV at LA (15 - 20) L -- Wk#8: KC at LV (27 - 20) L -- Wk#9: LV at CIN (24 - 41) L -- Wk#11: LV at MIA (19 - 34) L -- Wk#12: DEN at LV (29 - 19) L -- Wk#13: LV at KC (17 - 19) L -- Wk#14: LV at TB (13 - 28) L -- Wk#15: ATL at LV (15 - 9) L -- Wk#16: JAX at LV (14 - 19) W -- Wk#17: LV at NO (25 - 10) W
Power Ranking: 25

My Calc: -8.5
Power Diff: -16
Home Odds: -4.5

Pick #8

Matchup: KC at DEN

My Pick: DEN

Away Team: KC (15-1)
Outlook: They picked the right time to play their best game of the year.
Wk#1: BAL at KC (20 - 27) W -- Wk#2: CIN at KC (25 - 26) W -- Wk#3: KC at ATL (22 - 17) W -- Wk#4: KC at LAC (17 - 10) W -- Wk#5: NO at KC (13 - 26) W -- Wk#7: KC at SF (28 - 18) W -- Wk#8: KC at LV (27 - 20) W -- Wk#9: TB at KC (24 - 30) W -- Wk#10: DEN at KC (14 - 16) W -- Wk#11: KC at BUF (21 - 30) L -- Wk#12: KC at CAR (30 - 27) W -- Wk#13: LV at KC (17 - 19) W -- Wk#14: LAC at KC (17 - 19) W -- Wk#15: KC at CLE (21 - 7) W -- Wk#16: HOU at KC (19 - 27) W -- Wk#17: KC at PIT (29 - 10) W
Power Ranking: 1

Home Team: DEN (9-7)
Outlook: If they can’t beat the Kansas City “B” team, they don’t deserve to be in the playoffs.
Wk#1: DEN at SEA (20 - 26) L -- Wk#2: PIT at DEN (13 - 6) L -- Wk#3: DEN at TB (26 - 7) W -- Wk#4: DEN at NYJ (10 - 9) W -- Wk#5: LV at DEN (18 - 34) W -- Wk#6: LAC at DEN (23 - 16) L -- Wk#7: DEN at NO (33 - 10) W -- Wk#8: CAR at DEN (14 - 28) W -- Wk#9: DEN at BAL (10 - 41) L -- Wk#10: DEN at KC (14 - 16) L -- Wk#11: ATL at DEN (6 - 38) W -- Wk#12: DEN at LV (29 - 19) W -- Wk#13: CLE at DEN (32 - 41) W -- Wk#15: IND at DEN (13 - 31) W -- Wk#16: DEN at LAC (27 - 34) L -- Wk#17: DEN at CIN (24 - 30) L
Power Ranking: 12

My Calc: 7.8
Power Diff: -11
Home Odds: 10.5

Pick #7

Matchup: JAX at IND

My Pick: IND

Away Team: JAX (4-12)
Outlook: Brian Thomas Jr. could help them attract a head coach who has choices.
Wk#1: JAX at MIA (17 - 20) L -- Wk#2: CLE at JAX (18 - 13) L -- Wk#3: JAX at BUF (10 - 47) L -- Wk#4: JAX at HOU (20 - 24) L -- Wk#5: IND at JAX (34 - 37) W -- Wk#6: JAX at CHI (16 - 35) L -- Wk#7: NE at JAX (16 - 32) W -- Wk#8: GB at JAX (30 - 27) L -- Wk#9: JAX at PHI (23 - 28) L -- Wk#10: MIN at JAX (12 - 7) L -- Wk#11: JAX at DET (6 - 52) L -- Wk#13: HOU at JAX (23 - 20) L -- Wk#14: JAX at TEN (10 - 6) W -- Wk#15: NYJ at JAX (32 - 25) L -- Wk#16: JAX at LV (14 - 19) L -- Wk#17: TEN at JAX (13 - 20) W
Power Ranking: 26

Home Team: IND (7-9)
Outlook: It feels like a housecleaning is coming.
Wk#1: HOU at IND (29 - 27) L -- Wk#2: IND at GB (10 - 16) L -- Wk#3: CHI at IND (16 - 21) W -- Wk#4: PIT at IND (24 - 27) W -- Wk#5: IND at JAX (34 - 37) L -- Wk#6: IND at TEN (20 - 17) W -- Wk#7: MIA at IND (10 - 16) W -- Wk#8: IND at HOU (20 - 23) L -- Wk#9: IND at MIN (13 - 21) L -- Wk#10: BUF at IND (30 - 20) L -- Wk#11: IND at NYJ (28 - 27) W -- Wk#12: DET at IND (24 - 6) L -- Wk#13: IND at NE (25 - 24) W -- Wk#15: IND at DEN (13 - 31) L -- Wk#16: TEN at IND (30 - 38) W -- Wk#17: IND at NYG (33 - 45) L
Power Ranking: 20

My Calc: 6
Power Diff: 6
Home Odds: 4.5

Pick #6

Matchup: SF at ARI

My Pick: ARI

Away Team: SF (6-10)
Outlook: Next year’s team will likely look a lot different than this year’s team.
Wk#1: NYJ at SF (19 - 32) W -- Wk#2: SF at MIN (17 - 23) L -- Wk#3: SF at LA (24 - 27) L -- Wk#4: NE at SF (13 - 30) W -- Wk#5: ARI at SF (24 - 23) L -- Wk#6: SF at SEA (36 - 24) W -- Wk#7: KC at SF (28 - 18) L -- Wk#8: DAL at SF (24 - 30) W -- Wk#10: SF at TB (23 - 20) W -- Wk#11: SEA at SF (20 - 17) L -- Wk#12: SF at GB (10 - 38) L -- Wk#13: SF at BUF (10 - 35) L -- Wk#14: CHI at SF (13 - 38) W -- Wk#15: LA at SF (12 - 6) L -- Wk#16: SF at MIA (17 - 29) L -- Wk#17: DET at SF (40 - 34) L
Power Ranking: 22

Home Team: ARI (7-9)
Outlook: Jonathan Gannon likely will get a third year. He’ll have to work for a fourth.
Wk#1: ARI at BUF (28 - 34) L -- Wk#2: LA at ARI (10 - 41) W -- Wk#3: DET at ARI (20 - 13) L -- Wk#4: WAS at ARI (42 - 14) L -- Wk#5: ARI at SF (24 - 23) W -- Wk#6: ARI at GB (13 - 34) L -- Wk#7: LAC at ARI (15 - 17) W -- Wk#8: ARI at MIA (28 - 27) W -- Wk#9: CHI at ARI (9 - 29) W -- Wk#10: NYJ at ARI (6 - 31) W -- Wk#12: ARI at SEA (6 - 16) L -- Wk#13: ARI at MIN (22 - 23) L -- Wk#14: SEA at ARI (30 - 18) L -- Wk#15: NE at ARI (17 - 30) W -- Wk#16: ARI at CAR (30 - 36) L -- Wk#17: ARI at LA (9 - 13) L
Power Ranking: 21

My Calc: 4.8
Power Diff: 1
Home Odds: 4.5

Pick #5

Matchup: SEA at LA

My Pick: SEA

Away Team: SEA (9-7)
Outlook: They’ve missed the playoffs for two straight years for the first time since the days before the Legion of Boom.
Wk#1: DEN at SEA (20 - 26) W -- Wk#2: SEA at NE (23 - 20) W -- Wk#3: MIA at SEA (3 - 24) W -- Wk#4: SEA at DET (29 - 42) L -- Wk#5: NYG at SEA (29 - 20) L -- Wk#6: SF at SEA (36 - 24) L -- Wk#7: SEA at ATL (34 - 14) W -- Wk#8: BUF at SEA (31 - 10) L -- Wk#9: LA at SEA (26 - 20) L -- Wk#11: SEA at SF (20 - 17) W -- Wk#12: ARI at SEA (6 - 16) W -- Wk#13: SEA at NYJ (26 - 21) W -- Wk#14: SEA at ARI (30 - 18) W -- Wk#15: GB at SEA (30 - 13) L -- Wk#16: MIN at SEA (27 - 24) L -- Wk#17: SEA at CHI (6 - 3) W
Power Ranking: 17

Home Team: LA (10-6)
Outlook: Ugly wins continues to count as wins.
Wk#1: LA at DET (20 - 26) L -- Wk#2: LA at ARI (10 - 41) L -- Wk#3: SF at LA (24 - 27) W -- Wk#4: LA at CHI (18 - 24) L -- Wk#5: GB at LA (24 - 19) L -- Wk#7: LV at LA (15 - 20) W -- Wk#8: MIN at LA (20 - 30) W -- Wk#9: LA at SEA (26 - 20) W -- Wk#10: MIA at LA (23 - 15) L -- Wk#11: LA at NE (28 - 22) W -- Wk#12: PHI at LA (37 - 20) L -- Wk#13: LA at NO (21 - 14) W -- Wk#14: BUF at LA (42 - 44) W -- Wk#15: LA at SF (12 - 6) W -- Wk#16: LA at NYJ (19 - 9) W -- Wk#17: ARI at LA (9 - 13) W
Power Ranking: 10

My Calc: -4.8
Power Diff: 7
Home Odds: -6.5

Pick #4

Matchup: MIA at NYJ

My Pick: MIA

Away Team: MIA (8-8)
Outlook: Winning in Cleveland against a tanking Browns team changes a grand total of zero narratives.
Wk#1: JAX at MIA (17 - 20) W -- Wk#2: BUF at MIA (31 - 10) L -- Wk#3: MIA at SEA (3 - 24) L -- Wk#4: TEN at MIA (31 - 12) L -- Wk#5: MIA at NE (15 - 10) W -- Wk#7: MIA at IND (10 - 16) L -- Wk#8: ARI at MIA (28 - 27) L -- Wk#9: MIA at BUF (27 - 30) L -- Wk#10: MIA at LA (23 - 15) W -- Wk#11: LV at MIA (19 - 34) W -- Wk#12: NE at MIA (15 - 34) W -- Wk#13: MIA at GB (17 - 30) L -- Wk#14: NYJ at MIA (26 - 32) W -- Wk#15: MIA at HOU (12 - 20) L -- Wk#16: SF at MIA (17 - 29) W -- Wk#17: MIA at CLE (20 - 3) W
Power Ranking: 18

Home Team: NYJ (4-12)
Outlook: Nice knowing you, Aaron Rodgers.
Wk#1: NYJ at SF (19 - 32) L -- Wk#2: NYJ at TEN (24 - 17) W -- Wk#3: NE at NYJ (3 - 24) W -- Wk#4: DEN at NYJ (10 - 9) L -- Wk#5: NYJ at MIN (17 - 23) L -- Wk#6: BUF at NYJ (23 - 20) L -- Wk#7: NYJ at PIT (15 - 37) L -- Wk#8: NYJ at NE (22 - 25) L -- Wk#9: HOU at NYJ (13 - 21) W -- Wk#10: NYJ at ARI (6 - 31) L -- Wk#11: IND at NYJ (28 - 27) L -- Wk#13: SEA at NYJ (26 - 21) L -- Wk#14: NYJ at MIA (26 - 32) L -- Wk#15: NYJ at JAX (32 - 25) W -- Wk#16: LA at NYJ (19 - 9) L -- Wk#17: NYJ at BUF (14 - 40) L
Power Ranking: 28

My Calc: -3
Power Diff: -10
Home Odds: -0.5

Pick #3

Matchup: HOU at TEN

My Pick: HOU

Away Team: HOU (9-7)
Outlook: The only difference between last year and this year is a tougher schedule and a more porous offensive line.
Wk#1: HOU at IND (29 - 27) W -- Wk#2: CHI at HOU (13 - 19) W -- Wk#3: HOU at MIN (7 - 34) L -- Wk#4: JAX at HOU (20 - 24) W -- Wk#5: BUF at HOU (20 - 23) W -- Wk#6: HOU at NE (41 - 21) W -- Wk#7: HOU at GB (22 - 24) L -- Wk#8: IND at HOU (20 - 23) W -- Wk#9: HOU at NYJ (13 - 21) L -- Wk#10: DET at HOU (26 - 23) L -- Wk#11: HOU at DAL (34 - 10) W -- Wk#12: TEN at HOU (32 - 27) L -- Wk#13: HOU at JAX (23 - 20) W -- Wk#15: MIA at HOU (12 - 20) W -- Wk#16: HOU at KC (19 - 27) L -- Wk#17: BAL at HOU (31 - 2) L
Power Ranking: 14

Home Team: TEN (3-13)
Outlook: They’ll play both Mason Rudolph and Will Levis next week. The winner gets a Water-Pik.
Wk#1: TEN at CHI (17 - 24) L -- Wk#2: NYJ at TEN (24 - 17) L -- Wk#3: GB at TEN (30 - 14) L -- Wk#4: TEN at MIA (31 - 12) W -- Wk#6: IND at TEN (20 - 17) L -- Wk#7: TEN at BUF (10 - 34) L -- Wk#8: TEN at DET (14 - 52) L -- Wk#9: NE at TEN (17 - 20) W -- Wk#10: TEN at LAC (17 - 27) L -- Wk#11: MIN at TEN (23 - 13) L -- Wk#12: TEN at HOU (32 - 27) W -- Wk#13: TEN at WAS (19 - 42) L -- Wk#14: JAX at TEN (10 - 6) L -- Wk#15: CIN at TEN (37 - 27) L -- Wk#16: TEN at IND (30 - 38) L -- Wk#17: TEN at JAX (13 - 20) L
Power Ranking: 31

My Calc: -2.8
Power Diff: -17
Home Odds: 1.5

Pick #2

Matchup: MIN at DET

My Pick: DET

Away Team: MIN (14-2)
Outlook: This is the best and most balanced team the Vikings have had since the days of Fran Tarkenton, Chuck Foreman, and the Purple People Eaters. And this might be the year they finally do what the Vikings of the ‘70s couldn’t.
Wk#1: MIN at NYG (28 - 6) W -- Wk#2: SF at MIN (17 - 23) W -- Wk#3: HOU at MIN (7 - 34) W -- Wk#4: MIN at GB (31 - 29) W -- Wk#5: NYJ at MIN (17 - 23) W -- Wk#7: DET at MIN (31 - 29) L -- Wk#8: MIN at LA (20 - 30) L -- Wk#9: IND at MIN (13 - 21) W -- Wk#10: MIN at JAX (12 - 7) W -- Wk#11: MIN at TEN (23 - 13) W -- Wk#12: MIN at CHI (30 - 27) W -- Wk#13: ARI at MIN (22 - 23) W -- Wk#14: ATL at MIN (21 - 42) W -- Wk#15: CHI at MIN (12 - 30) W -- Wk#16: MIN at SEA (27 - 24) W -- Wk#17: GB at MIN (25 - 27) W
Power Ranking: 3

Home Team: DET (14-2)
Outlook: If they’re going to be the top seed in the NFC, they’re going to have to earn it.
Wk#1: LA at DET (20 - 26) W -- Wk#2: TB at DET (20 - 16) L -- Wk#3: DET at ARI (20 - 13) W -- Wk#4: SEA at DET (29 - 42) W -- Wk#6: DET at DAL (47 - 9) W -- Wk#7: DET at MIN (31 - 29) W -- Wk#8: TEN at DET (14 - 52) W -- Wk#9: DET at GB (24 - 14) W -- Wk#10: DET at HOU (26 - 23) W -- Wk#11: JAX at DET (6 - 52) W -- Wk#12: DET at IND (24 - 6) W -- Wk#13: CHI at DET (20 - 23) W -- Wk#14: GB at DET (31 - 34) W -- Wk#15: BUF at DET (48 - 42) L -- Wk#16: DET at CHI (34 - 17) W -- Wk#17: DET at SF (40 - 34) W
Power Ranking: 4

My Calc: 2.2
Power Diff: -1
Home Odds: 2.5

Pick #1

Matchup: CIN at PIT

My Pick: CIN

Away Team: CIN (8-8)
Outlook: They have a much better chance of winning in Pittsburgh on Saturday than the Broncos and Dolphins have of losing on Sunday.
Wk#1: NE at CIN (16 - 10) L -- Wk#2: CIN at KC (25 - 26) L -- Wk#3: WAS at CIN (38 - 33) L -- Wk#4: CIN at CAR (34 - 24) W -- Wk#5: BAL at CIN (41 - 38) L -- Wk#6: CIN at NYG (17 - 7) W -- Wk#7: CIN at CLE (21 - 14) W -- Wk#8: PHI at CIN (37 - 17) L -- Wk#9: LV at CIN (24 - 41) W -- Wk#10: CIN at BAL (34 - 35) L -- Wk#11: CIN at LAC (27 - 34) L -- Wk#13: PIT at CIN (44 - 38) L -- Wk#14: CIN at DAL (27 - 20) W -- Wk#15: CIN at TEN (37 - 27) W -- Wk#16: CLE at CIN (6 - 24) W -- Wk#17: DEN at CIN (24 - 30) W
Power Ranking: 16

Home Team: PIT (10-6)
Outlook: It could be another offseason of change, if they don’t win at least one playoff game.
Wk#1: PIT at ATL (18 - 10) W -- Wk#2: PIT at DEN (13 - 6) W -- Wk#3: LAC at PIT (10 - 20) W -- Wk#4: PIT at IND (24 - 27) L -- Wk#5: DAL at PIT (20 - 17) L -- Wk#6: PIT at LV (32 - 13) W -- Wk#7: NYJ at PIT (15 - 37) W -- Wk#8: NYG at PIT (18 - 26) W -- Wk#10: PIT at WAS (28 - 27) W -- Wk#11: BAL at PIT (16 - 18) W -- Wk#12: PIT at CLE (19 - 24) L -- Wk#13: PIT at CIN (44 - 38) W -- Wk#14: CLE at PIT (14 - 27) W -- Wk#15: PIT at PHI (13 - 27) L -- Wk#16: PIT at BAL (17 - 34) L -- Wk#17: KC at PIT (29 - 10) L
Power Ranking: 11

My Calc: -1.2
Power Diff: 5
Home Odds: -2.5

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