Our suggested winners, ordered from 16 confidence points to 3. Pick straight-up winners; assign each point value once according to your pool rules.
Team outlooks from MyFootballToolbox Power Rankings. Records and recent form use only games completed before Week 10. Confidence points indicate an order, not a win probability or guarantee. Expert picks can differ from the market favorite.
Sun Nov 15 - 1:00 PM ET
Jacksonville Jaguars favored by 10.5 points (reference line)
MFT Confidence Index #16.34 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.
Jacksonville JaguarsLast 4: W 34-10 CLE
Jacksonville must sustain its progress against a division rival.
Tennessee TitansLast 4: L 10-23 NYJ
Tennessee returns from its bye needing sustained possessions.
Sun Nov 15 - 1:00 PM ET
Buffalo Bills favored by 8.5 points (reference line)
MFT Confidence Index #15.59 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.
Buffalo BillsLast 4: W 36-31 HOU
Buffalo must carry its control into a divisional road game.
New York JetsLast 4: W 23-10 TEN
The Jets need consistent drives and clearer receiving roles.
Sun Nov 15 - 4:05 PM ET
Los Angeles Rams favored by 9.5 points (reference line)
MFT Confidence Index #11.88 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.
Los Angeles RamsLast 4: L 7-27 SF
The Rams need an adaptable receiving plan at Arizona.
Arizona CardinalsLast 4: W 26-14 LAC
Arizona needs disciplined preparation for its Rams matchup.
Sun Nov 15 - 4:25 PM ET
San Francisco 49ers favored by 4.5 points (reference line)
MFT Confidence Index #9.50 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.
San Francisco 49ersLast 4: W 27-7 LA
San Francisco needs sustained drives and updated receiving checks.
Dallas CowboysLast 4: L 20-28 NYG
Dallas must confirm backfield roles before hosting San Francisco.
Mon Nov 16 - 8:15 PM ET
Baltimore Ravens favored by 5.5 points (reference line)
MFT Confidence Index #7.50 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.
Los Angeles ChargersLast 4: L 14-26 ARI
The Chargers need a complete offensive response at Baltimore.
Baltimore RavensLast 4: W 41-23 IND
Baltimore must execute rather than rely on the opponent ranking.
Sun Nov 15 - 1:00 PM ET
Kansas City Chiefs favored by 3.5 points (reference line)
MFT Confidence Index #7.00 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.
Kansas City ChiefsLast 4: W 31-10 DEN
Kansas City needs repeatable opportunities on its Atlanta trip.
Atlanta FalconsLast 4: L 13-20 PIT
Atlanta needs reliable possessions against Kansas City.
Sun Nov 15 - 4:05 PM ET
Seattle Seahawks favored by 3.5 points (reference line)
MFT Confidence Index #5.75 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.
Seattle SeahawksLast 4: W 13-10 NE
Seattle needs offensive stability and current personnel checks.
Las Vegas RaidersLast 4: W 27-13 MIA
Las Vegas must turn useful possessions into complete drives.
Thu Nov 12 - 8:15 PM ET
New York Giants favored by 2.5 points (reference line)
MFT Confidence Index #5.69 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.
Washington CommandersLast 4: L 22-24 PHI
Washington must establish repeatable receiving roles against the Giants.
New York GiantsLast 4: W 28-20 DAL
The Giants need another complete divisional performance.
Sun Nov 15 - 1:00 PM ET
Green Bay Packers favored by 4.5 points (reference line)
MFT Confidence Index #4.95 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.
Minnesota VikingsLast 4: W 39-22 GB
Minnesota needs a sustained response on its Green Bay trip.
Green Bay PackersLast 4: L 22-39 MIN
Green Bay must verify backfield availability before hosting Minnesota.
Sun Nov 15 - 1:00 PM ET
Houston Texans favored by 4.5 points (reference line)
MFT Confidence Index #4.25 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.
Houston TexansLast 4: L 31-36 BUF
Houston needs repeated receiving involvement on its Cleveland trip.
Cleveland BrownsLast 4: L 10-34 JAX
Cleveland projections depend on current quarterback participation.
Sun Nov 15 - 8:20 PM ET
Cincinnati Bengals favored by 3.5 points (reference line)
MFT Confidence Index #4.21 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.
Pittsburgh SteelersLast 4: W 20-13 ATL
Pittsburgh returns from its bye for a demanding divisional trip.
Cincinnati BengalsLast 4: W 33-27 TB
Cincinnati needs complete possessions in its Pittsburgh matchup.
Sun Nov 15 - 9:30 AM ET
Detroit Lions favored by 2.5 points (reference line)
MFT Confidence Index #4.00 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.
Neutral site: FC Bayern Munich Stadium
New England PatriotsLast 4: L 10-13 SEA
New England must reassess its backfield before facing Detroit.
Detroit LionsLast 4: W 31-30 NO
Detroit must adapt its possession plan against New England.
Sun Nov 15 - 1:00 PM ET
Indianapolis Colts favored by 2.5 points (reference line)
MFT Confidence Index #3.25 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.
Miami DolphinsLast 4: L 13-27 LV
Miami needs repeated receiving involvement and sustained drives.
Indianapolis ColtsLast 4: L 23-41 BAL
Indianapolis projections must follow confirmed personnel and usage.
Sun Nov 15 - 1:00 PM ET
New Orleans Saints favored by 1.5 points (reference line)
MFT Confidence Index #0.49 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.
Carolina PanthersLast 4: L 37-59 CHI
Carolina needs sustained offense in its New Orleans matchup.
New Orleans SaintsLast 4: L 30-31 DET
New Orleans must show its emerging offensive roles can repeat.
The Odds Lines are for reference only as they may have changed since publishing.