CIN KC TEX SL LVR NYJ SEA OAK NWE WSH PHI PIT ATL RAI MIA SDG HST CHI ARZ ARI KCC DEN TB JAC SF PHO BLT NYT BUF NE IND NO CIN KC TEX SL LVR NYJ SEA OAK NWE WSH PHI PIT ATL RAI MIA SDG HST CHI ARZ ARI KCC DEN TB JAC SF PHO BLT NYT BUF NE IND NO

← PickEm Toolbox

2026 WEEK 7 · EXPERT PICKS

Pick'em with Confidence Points

Our suggested winners, ordered from 16 confidence points to 3. Pick straight-up winners; assign each point value once according to your pool rules.

Download Expert Picks 2-page PDFAll three sheet versions →

Team outlooks from MyFootballToolbox Power Rankings. Records and recent form use only games completed before Week 7. Confidence points indicate an order, not a win probability or guarantee. Expert picks can differ from the market favorite.

Team outlooks reviewed 2026-10-20. Injury availability can change; recheck before kickoff. This text-only editorial update does not recalculate picks or confidence points.

16POINTS

Expert pick: Minnesota Vikings

Sun Oct 25 - 1:00 PM ET

Minnesota Vikings favored by 6.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #12.00 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Indianapolis Colts

Record 2-4 · Power Rank #26

Last 4: L 20-26 TENL 22-34 PITW 30-13 WASW 19-17 HOU

The Minnesota trip demands a more complete Indianapolis response.

Minnesota Vikings

Record 5-0 · Power Rank #4

Last 4: W 23-13 NOW 15-10 MIAW 23-16 TBW 9-3 CHI

Minnesota needs drive efficiency and clear backfield roles.

15POINTS

Expert pick: Houston Texans

Sun Oct 25 - 1:00 PM ET

Houston Texans favored by 10 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #10.75 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

New York Giants

Record 3-2-1 · Power Rank #20

Last 4: L 27-34 NOT 27-27 WASW 36-24 ARIW 12-7 TEN

Quarterback clarity and stable roles matter for the Houston trip.

Houston Texans

Record 2-4 · Power Rank #17

Last 4: W 34-31 JAXW 26-3 TENL 30-34 DALL 17-19 IND

Houston needs defensive support for its improving passing game.

14POINTS

Expert pick: Denver Broncos

Sun Oct 25 - 4:05 PM ET

Denver Broncos favored by 4.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #9.50 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Denver Broncos

Record 4-2 · Power Rank #5

Last 4: W 17-14 SEAW 23-17 LACL 14-24 SFW 30-26 LA

Turn defensive stops into easier offensive possessions in Arizona.

Arizona Cardinals

Record 2-4 · Power Rank #25

Last 4: W 18-16 LAL 21-45 DETL 24-36 NYGL 30-36 SF

Arizona must sustain its discipline against a demanding Denver defense.

13POINTS

Expert pick: San Francisco 49ers

Sun Oct 25 - 1:00 PM ET

San Francisco 49ers favored by 3 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #8.75 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

San Francisco 49ers

Record 6-0 · Power Rank #1

Last 4: W 23-17 WASW 32-29 SEAW 24-14 DENW 36-30 ARI

Receiving depth tests the unbeaten 49ers in Atlanta.

Atlanta Falcons

Record 2-4 · Power Rank #24

Last 4: L 23-31 CHIL 23-30 BALW 45-24 NOW 35-14 GB

Atlanta cannot rely on a late recovery against San Francisco.

12POINTS

Expert pick: Carolina Panthers

Sun Oct 25 - 1:00 PM ET

Carolina Panthers favored by 3.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #7.18 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Record 1-5 · Power Rank #30

Last 4: L 19-26 PITW 24-16 DALL 14-17 GBL 16-23 MIN

Tampa Bay needs a complete response against Carolina.

Carolina Panthers

Record 3-2 · Power Rank #15

Last 4: W 25-14 PHIW 32-26 DETL 18-21 CLEW 34-3 ATL

Young and efficient early downs can strengthen Carolina position.

11POINTS

Expert pick: New York Jets

Sun Oct 25 - 1:00 PM ET

New York Jets favored by 4.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #5.69 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Miami Dolphins

Record 0-5 · Power Rank #32

Last 4: L 24-31 CINL 10-15 MINL 10-24 KCL 13-35 SF

Miami needs sustained drives and clearer roles against the Jets.

New York Jets

Record 2-4 · Power Rank #27

Last 4: L 19-26 NEW 17-12 CLEL 12-23 CHIL 24-31 DET

Young Jets contributors need repeatable roles against Miami.

10POINTS

Expert pick: Cleveland Browns

Sun Oct 25 - 1:00 PM ET

Cleveland Browns favored by 1.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #5.25 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Cleveland Browns

Record 4-2 · Power Rank #13

Last 4: W 13-10 BALL 12-17 NYJW 27-24 PITW 21-18 CAR

Cleveland must convert defensive control into dependable offense.

Tennessee Titans

Record 1-5 · Power Rank #28

Last 4: W 26-20 INDL 3-26 HOUL 18-24 BALL 7-12 NYG

Tennessee needs repeatable offense after its breakthrough win.

9POINTS

Expert pick: Pittsburgh Steelers

Sun Oct 25 - 9:30 AM ET

Pittsburgh Steelers favored by 3.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #5.25 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Neutral site: Stade de France

Pittsburgh Steelers

Record 4-2 · Power Rank #16

Last 4: W 26-19 TBW 34-22 INDL 24-27 CLEW 30-27 CIN

Receiver chemistry can reduce Pittsburgh dependence on close finishes.

New Orleans Saints

Record 2-4 · Power Rank #23

Last 4: W 34-27 NYGL 13-23 MINL 24-45 ATLL 27-35 LV

New Orleans needs balance and another clear look at backfield usage.

8POINTS

Expert pick: Los Angeles Rams

Sun Oct 25 - 4:25 PM ET

Los Angeles Rams favored by 4.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #4.75 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Los Angeles Rams

Record 2-4 · Power Rank #18

Last 4: L 16-18 ARIL 34-37 BUFW 24-20 PHIL 26-30 DEN

Los Angeles needs clean execution while its available options shrink.

Las Vegas Raiders

Record 3-3 · Power Rank #19

Last 4: L 30-33 BUFL 17-45 NEL 27-30 KCW 35-27 NO

Las Vegas must make offensive possessions more dependable.

7POINTS

Expert pick: Dallas Cowboys

Mon Oct 26 - 8:15 PM ET

Dallas Cowboys favored by 4.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #4.70 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Dallas Cowboys

Record 2-4 · Power Rank #21

Last 4: L 13-23 GBL 16-24 TBW 34-30 HOUL 31-34 BAL

Dallas must fix its own execution in a consequential division game.

Philadelphia Eagles

Record 2-4 · Power Rank #22

Last 4: L 14-25 CARL 17-19 JAXL 20-24 LAL 7-27 CHI

Quarterback disruption raises the burden on Philadelphia supporting cast.

6POINTS

Expert pick: Chicago Bears

Thu Oct 22 - 8:15 PM ET

Chicago Bears favored by 3 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #2.00 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

New England Patriots

Record 4-2 · Power Rank #8

Last 4: W 26-19 NYJW 45-17 LVW 29-26 BUFL 6-35 JAX

Maye must preserve timing through a short-week receiver shuffle.

Chicago Bears

Record 4-2 · Power Rank #12

Last 4: W 31-23 ATLL 7-31 GBW 23-12 NYJW 27-7 PHI

Protect possessions in a matchup of ascending quarterbacks.

5POINTS

Expert pick: Baltimore Ravens

Sun Oct 25 - 1:00 PM ET

Baltimore Ravens favored by 2.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #1.98 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Cincinnati Bengals

Record 3-2 · Power Rank #9

Last 4: W 31-24 MIAL 17-22 JAXL 27-30 PITW 20-6 HOU

The Baltimore trip demands complete possessions after the bye.

Baltimore Ravens

Record 4-2 · Power Rank #11

Last 4: L 10-13 CLEW 30-23 ATLW 24-18 TENW 34-31 DAL

Quarterback clarity is central to the Cincinnati matchup.

4POINTS

Expert pick: Detroit Lions

Sun Oct 25 - 4:25 PM ET

Detroit Lions favored by 3 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #1.98 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Green Bay Packers

Record 4-2 · Power Rank #10

Last 4: W 23-13 DALW 31-7 CHIW 17-14 TBL 14-35 ATL

Green Bay must carry its two-way improvement into Detroit.

Detroit Lions

Record 3-2 · Power Rank #14

Last 4: W 45-21 ARIL 26-32 CARW 31-24 NYJL 31-41 BUF

Detroit returns to an immediate divisional test against Green Bay.

3POINTS

Expert pick: Seattle Seahawks

Sun Oct 25 - 8:20 PM ET

Seattle Seahawks favored by 2.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #1.25 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Kansas City Chiefs

Record 5-0 · Power Rank #2

Last 4: W 22-6 LACW 30-27 LVW 24-10 MIAW 33-30 IND

Walker and controlled possessions anchor the Seattle matchup.

Seattle Seahawks

Record 3-3 · Power Rank #7

Last 4: L 14-17 DENL 29-32 SFW 30-23 LACL 31-33 WAS

Ball security and verified backfield roles matter against Kansas City.

The Odds Lines are for reference only as they may have changed since publishing.