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2026 WEEK 2 · EXPERT PICKS

Pick'em with Confidence Points

Our suggested winners, ordered from 16 confidence points to 1. Pick straight-up winners; assign each point value once according to your pool rules.

Team outlooks from MyFootballToolbox Power Rankings. Records and recent form use only games completed before Week 2. Confidence points indicate an order, not a win probability or guarantee. Expert picks can differ from the market favorite.

16POINTS

Expert pick: San Francisco 49ers

Sun Sep 20 - 4:25 PM ET

San Francisco 49ers favored by 12.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #18.25 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Miami Dolphins

Record 0-1 · Power Rank #32

Last 4: L 13-27 LV

Miami's outlook remains developmental, with promising rookie contributions offering encouragement. Consistent improvement across a thin roster matters more than drawing sweeping conclusions from one loss.

San Francisco 49ers

Record 1-0 · Power Rank #9

Last 4: W 27-7 LA

San Francisco made a convincing opening statement. Keeping its veteran defensive core healthy remains essential to turning that performance into sustained contention.

15POINTS

Expert pick: Baltimore Ravens

Sun Sep 20 - 1:00 PM ET

Baltimore Ravens favored by 8.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #12.50 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

New Orleans Saints

Record 0-1 · Power Rank #20

Last 4: L 30-31 DET

New Orleans showed enough offensive promise to remain encouraged. Starting faster is the immediate challenge; another late surge may not erase an early deficit.

Baltimore Ravens

Record 1-0 · Power Rank #4

Last 4: W 41-23 IND

Baltimore's balanced attack looks comfortable under its new staff. Sustaining that efficiency while tightening run defense would strengthen the case for an extended winning start.

14POINTS

Expert pick: Kansas City Chiefs

Sun Sep 20 - 8:20 PM ET

Kansas City Chiefs favored by 6.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #11.75 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Indianapolis Colts

Record 0-1 · Power Rank #26

Last 4: L 23-41 BAL

Indianapolis needs improvement from its quarterback and overwhelmed defense. Week 2 tests whether both units can regain stability together.

Kansas City Chiefs

Record 1-0 · Power Rank #5

Last 4: W 31-10 DEN

A productive running game and strong defense give Kansas City more ways to win. Maintaining that support eases the burden on Patrick Mahomes.

13POINTS

Expert pick: Philadelphia Eagles

Sun Sep 20 - 1:00 PM ET

Philadelphia Eagles favored by 7 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #11.75 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Philadelphia Eagles

Record 1-0 · Power Rank #11

Last 4: W 24-22 WAS

Philadelphia escaped its opener without resolving concerns about offensive rhythm. More consistent drives are needed before treating the Eagles as a convincing top-tier team.

Tennessee Titans

Record 0-1 · Power Rank #30

Last 4: L 10-23 NYJ

Tennessee needs basic offensive rhythm after a difficult opener. Longer possessions and more defensive resistance are necessary to make the next game genuinely competitive.

12POINTS

Expert pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sun Sep 20 - 1:00 PM ET

Tampa Bay Buccaneers favored by 8.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #11.75 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Cleveland Browns

Record 0-1 · Power Rank #31

Last 4: L 10-34 JAX

Cleveland cannot count on its defense to cover offensive limitations yet. Both units need a substantial response before the outlook moves beyond early-season concern.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Record 0-1 · Power Rank #18

Last 4: L 27-33 CIN

Tampa Bay moved the ball but undermined itself with turnovers. Protecting possessions could produce a quick rebound, especially if the defense sustains its second-half improvement.

11POINTS

Expert pick: Los Angeles Rams

Mon Sep 21 - 8:15 PM ET

Los Angeles Rams favored by 7 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #10.25 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

New York Giants

Record 1-0 · Power Rank #16

Last 4: W 28-20 DAL

The Giants showed a more physical, controlled identity under John Harbaugh. Repeating that execution against another opponent matters more than one encouraging opening win.

Los Angeles Rams

Record 0-1 · Power Rank #3

Last 4: L 7-27 SF

The Rams still have enough talent to rebound. Garrett's absence and a demanding early schedule make a sharper, more coordinated performance urgent.

10POINTS

Expert pick: Seattle Seahawks

Sun Sep 20 - 4:25 PM ET

Seattle Seahawks favored by 4.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #10.15 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Seattle Seahawks

Record 1-0 · Power Rank #1

Last 4: W 13-10 NE

Defense gives Seattle a strong foundation despite quarterback uncertainty. Week 2 will test whether the offense can contribute without relying on another late rescue.

Arizona Cardinals

Record 1-0 · Power Rank #24

Last 4: W 26-14 LAC

Arizona's defense offered encouragement. Backing it up against Seattle would establish that the improved outlook extends beyond one upset.

9POINTS

Expert pick: Los Angeles Chargers

Sun Sep 20 - 4:05 PM ET

Los Angeles Chargers favored by 7 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #8.41 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Las Vegas Raiders

Record 1-0 · Power Rank #28

Last 4: W 27-13 MIA

Las Vegas handled a favorable opening matchup. Sustaining progress without Brock Bowers is the next challenge, with stronger opponents providing a clearer test.

Los Angeles Chargers

Record 0-1 · Power Rank #22

Last 4: L 14-26 ARI

Protection concerns and defensive transition cloud the Chargers' outlook. Better passing timing is achievable, but the response must include improvements beyond Justin Herbert.

8POINTS

Expert pick: Chicago Bears

Sun Sep 20 - 1:00 PM ET

Chicago Bears favored by 5.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #7.92 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Minnesota Vikings

Record 1-0 · Power Rank #17

Last 4: W 39-22 GB

Minnesota's comeback and Jefferson's production offer encouragement. Quarterback uncertainty complicates the outlook, making stable offensive execution the next test rather than assuming another dramatic recovery.

Chicago Bears

Record 1-0 · Power Rank #7

Last 4: W 59-37 CAR

Chicago's offense offers considerable scoring upside. A defense that allowed 37 points must improve before an explosive opener becomes convincing evidence of a complete contender.

7POINTS

Expert pick: Buffalo Bills

Thu Sep 17 - 8:15 PM ET

Buffalo Bills favored by 4.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #7.25 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Detroit Lions

Record 1-0 · Power Rank #13

Last 4: W 31-30 NO

Detroit survived despite exposed pass-defense weaknesses. Better coverage and communication are essential while the secondary works through injuries; offensive production alone leaves little margin.

Buffalo Bills

Record 1-0 · Power Rank #2

Last 4: W 36-31 HOU

Josh Allen keeps Buffalo dangerous against anyone. The next step is defensive consistency, so winning does not require another high-scoring finish.

6POINTS

Expert pick: New England Patriots

Sun Sep 20 - 1:00 PM ET

New England Patriots favored by 5.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #7.25 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Record 1-0 · Power Rank #21

Last 4: W 20-13 ATL

Pittsburgh can lean on defensive playmakers, but offensive scoring remains a concern. More sustained drives would reduce dependence on game-changing plays from the defense.

New England Patriots

Record 0-1 · Power Rank #14

Last 4: L 10-13 SEA

New England's first priority is reducing costly quarterback mistakes. A steadier passing performance would make its narrow opening loss look more correctable than defining.

5POINTS

Expert pick: Green Bay Packers

Sun Sep 20 - 1:00 PM ET

Green Bay Packers favored by 4.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #6.50 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Green Bay Packers

Record 0-1 · Power Rank #19

Last 4: L 22-39 MIN

Green Bay needs to finish games while navigating important absences. Cleaner late-game execution would help prevent another promising start from unraveling.

New York Jets

Record 1-0 · Power Rank #27

Last 4: W 23-10 TEN

The Jets looked organized on both sides. Repeating that against stronger opposition is necessary before one win justifies a major reassessment.

4POINTS

Expert pick: Dallas Cowboys

Sun Sep 20 - 4:25 PM ET

Dallas Cowboys favored by 3.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #5.45 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Washington Commanders

Record 0-1 · Power Rank #23

Last 4: L 22-24 PHI

Washington's protection held up better than feared. Reducing mental errors and sustaining offensive execution could turn a competitive opening loss into a more encouraging start.

Dallas Cowboys

Record 0-1 · Power Rank #15

Last 4: L 20-28 NYG

Dallas has time to recover, but preseason optimism needs on-field evidence. Winning physical matchups and producing timely stops are central to the Week 2 response.

3POINTS

Expert pick: Carolina Panthers

Sun Sep 20 - 1:00 PM ET

Carolina Panthers favored by 1.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #2.48 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Carolina Panthers

Record 0-1 · Power Rank #25

Last 4: L 37-59 CHI

Bryce Young gives Carolina something to build on. Defensive repairs are urgent; offensive progress cannot compensate for repeated breakdowns.

Atlanta Falcons

Record 0-1 · Power Rank #29

Last 4: L 13-20 PIT

Bijan Robinson provides a dependable offensive focal point. Quarterback uncertainty limits Atlanta's outlook until the passing game can contribute enough to keep defenses honest.

2POINTS

Expert pick: Houston Texans

Sun Sep 20 - 1:00 PM ET

Houston Texans favored by 3 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #2.00 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Cincinnati Bengals

Record 1-0 · Power Rank #8

Last 4: W 33-27 TB

Defensive takeaways changed Cincinnati's opener. Week 2 should reveal whether the improvement extends to routine stops rather than depending on another turnover-heavy afternoon.

Houston Texans

Record 0-1 · Power Rank #12

Last 4: L 31-36 BUF

Houston remains competitive, but quarterback ball security demands attention. Finishing possessions cleanly is the clearest route from a close loss to a Week 2 rebound.

1POINTS

Expert pick: Denver Broncos

Sun Sep 20 - 4:05 PM ET

Denver Broncos favored by 2.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #1.50 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Record 1-0 · Power Rank #6

Last 4: W 34-10 CLE

Jacksonville handled an overmatched opponent convincingly. The roster looks competitive, but stronger opposition will offer a better measure of its championship potential.

Denver Broncos

Record 0-1 · Power Rank #10

Last 4: L 10-31 KC

Denver retains considerable defensive upside despite a poor opener. Cleaner tackling and a more functional offense are immediate priorities before confidence returns.

The Odds Lines are for reference only as they may have changed since publishing.