← PickEm Toolbox

2026 WEEK 5 · EXPERT PICKS

Pick'em with Confidence Points

Our suggested winners, ordered from 15 confidence points to 1. Pick straight-up winners; assign each point value once according to your pool rules.

Entering Week 5 outlooks from MyFootballToolbox Power Rankings. Based on entering-Week-5 rankings following completed Week 4. Confidence points indicate an order, not a win probability or guarantee. Expert picks can differ from the market favorite.

15POINTS

Expert pick: Dallas Cowboys

Thu Oct 8 - 8:15 PM ET

Dallas Cowboys favored by 8.5 points (reference line)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Designated away · Power Rank #30

Consensus average: 30.00. Week 4: lost 14-17, gaining 275 yards and allowing 283. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

Dallas Cowboys

Designated home · Power Rank #12

Consensus average: 10.67. Week 4: won 34-30, gaining 399 yards and allowing 397. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

14POINTS

Expert pick: Cincinnati Bengals

Sun Oct 11 - 1:00 PM ET

Cincinnati Bengals favored by 7 points (reference line)

Cincinnati Bengals

Designated away · Power Rank #13

Consensus average: 11.33. Week 4: lost 17-22, gaining 437 yards and allowing 323. The yardage advantage did not produce a win; converting drives into points is the immediate priority.

Miami Dolphins

Designated home · Power Rank #31

Consensus average: 31.00. Week 4: lost 10-15, gaining 198 yards and allowing 336. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

13POINTS

Expert pick: Jacksonville Jaguars

Sun Oct 11 - 9:30 AM ET

Jacksonville Jaguars favored by 6.5 points (reference line)

Philadelphia Eagles

Designated away · Power Rank #15

Consensus average: 16.33. Week 4: lost 20-24, gaining 172 yards and allowing 415. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Designated home · Power Rank #4

Consensus average: 5.00. Week 4: won 22-17, gaining 323 yards and allowing 437. The result came despite being outgained; reducing yards allowed would give future wins a firmer foundation.

12POINTS

Expert pick: Denver Broncos

Sun Oct 11 - 4:05 PM ET

Denver Broncos favored by 3.5 points (reference line)

Denver Broncos

Designated away · Power Rank #10

Consensus average: 10.00. Week 4: lost 14-24, gaining 296 yards and allowing 358. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

Los Angeles Chargers

Designated home · Power Rank #29

Consensus average: 29.00. Week 4: lost 23-30, gaining 301 yards and allowing 286. The yardage advantage did not produce a win; converting drives into points is the immediate priority.

11POINTS

Expert pick: Houston Texans

Sun Oct 11 - 1:00 PM ET

Houston Texans favored by 6.5 points (reference line)

Houston Texans

Designated away · Power Rank #25

Consensus average: 25.00. Week 4: lost 30-34, gaining 397 yards and allowing 399. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

Tennessee Titans

Designated home · Power Rank #32

Consensus average: 31.33. Week 4: lost 18-24, gaining 297 yards and allowing 384. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

10POINTS

Expert pick: Chicago Bears

Sun Oct 11 - 1:00 PM ET

Chicago Bears favored by 3 points (reference line)

Chicago Bears

Designated away · Power Rank #8

Consensus average: 8.00. Week 4: won 23-12, gaining 492 yards and allowing 157. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

Green Bay Packers

Designated home · Power Rank #24

Consensus average: 25.00. Week 4: won 17-14, gaining 283 yards and allowing 275. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

9POINTS

Expert pick: Detroit Lions

Sun Oct 11 - 4:25 PM ET

Detroit Lions favored by 4.5 points (reference line)

Detroit Lions

Designated away · Power Rank #20

Consensus average: 18.33. Week 4: lost 26-32, gaining 452 yards and allowing 445. The yardage advantage did not produce a win; converting drives into points is the immediate priority.

Arizona Cardinals

Designated home · Power Rank #26

Consensus average: 26.00. Week 4: lost 24-36, gaining 270 yards and allowing 319. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

8POINTS

Expert pick: Minnesota Vikings

Sun Oct 11 - 1:00 PM ET

Minnesota Vikings favored by 1.5 points (reference line)

Minnesota Vikings

Designated away · Power Rank #7

Consensus average: 7.67. Week 4: won 15-10, gaining 336 yards and allowing 198. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

New Orleans Saints

Designated home · Power Rank #22

Consensus average: 22.00. Week 4: lost 24-45, gaining 320 yards and allowing 420. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

7POINTS

Expert pick: New England Patriots

Sun Oct 11 - 1:00 PM ET

New England Patriots favored by 3.5 points (reference line)

Las Vegas Raiders

Designated away · Power Rank #11

Consensus average: 10.67. Week 4: lost 27-30, gaining 437 yards and allowing 399. The yardage advantage did not produce a win; converting drives into points is the immediate priority.

New England Patriots

Designated home · Power Rank #14

Consensus average: 15.33. Week 4: won 29-26, gaining 405 yards and allowing 340. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

6POINTS

Expert pick: Seattle Seahawks

Sun Oct 11 - 4:25 PM ET

Seattle Seahawks favored by 3 points (reference line)

San Francisco 49ers

Designated away · Power Rank #1

Consensus average: 1.00. Week 4: won 24-14, gaining 358 yards and allowing 296. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

Seattle Seahawks

Designated home · Power Rank #3

Consensus average: 3.00. Week 4: won 30-23, gaining 286 yards and allowing 301. The result came despite being outgained; reducing yards allowed would give future wins a firmer foundation.

5POINTS

Expert pick: Pittsburgh Steelers

Sun Oct 11 - 1:00 PM ET

Pittsburgh Steelers favored by 2.5 points (reference line)

Indianapolis Colts

Designated away · Power Rank #21

Consensus average: 22.00. Week 4: won 30-13, gaining 257 yards and allowing 317. The result came despite being outgained; reducing yards allowed would give future wins a firmer foundation.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Designated home · Power Rank #23

Consensus average: 22.33. Week 4: lost 24-27, gaining 361 yards and allowing 372. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

4POINTS

Expert pick: Los Angeles Rams

Mon Oct 12 - 8:15 PM ET

Los Angeles Rams favored by 2.5 points (reference line)

Buffalo Bills

Designated away · Power Rank #5

Consensus average: 6.00. Week 4: lost 26-29, gaining 340 yards and allowing 405. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

Los Angeles Rams

Designated home · Power Rank #9

Consensus average: 10.00. Week 4: won 24-20, gaining 415 yards and allowing 172. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

3POINTS

Expert pick: Washington Commanders

Sun Oct 11 - 1:00 PM ET

Washington Commanders favored by 3 points (reference line)

New York Giants

Designated away · Power Rank #18

Consensus average: 17.67. Week 4: won 36-24, gaining 319 yards and allowing 270. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

Washington Commanders

Designated home · Power Rank #27

Consensus average: 27.00. Week 4: lost 13-30, gaining 317 yards and allowing 257. The yardage advantage did not produce a win; converting drives into points is the immediate priority.

2POINTS

Expert pick: Atlanta Falcons

Sun Oct 11 - 8:20 PM ET

Atlanta Falcons favored by 3 points (reference line)

Baltimore Ravens

Designated away · Power Rank #6

Consensus average: 6.00. Week 4: won 24-18, gaining 384 yards and allowing 297. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

Atlanta Falcons

Designated home · Power Rank #16

Consensus average: 16.67. Week 4: won 45-24, gaining 420 yards and allowing 320. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

1POINTS

Expert pick: New York Jets

Sun Oct 11 - 1:00 PM ET

New York Jets favored by 2.5 points (reference line)

Cleveland Browns

Designated away · Power Rank #19

Consensus average: 17.67. Week 4: won 27-24, gaining 372 yards and allowing 361. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

New York Jets

Designated home · Power Rank #28

Consensus average: 27.00. Week 4: lost 12-23, gaining 157 yards and allowing 492. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

The Odds Lines are for reference only as they may have changed since publishing.