← PickEm Toolbox

Team outlooks from MyFootballToolbox Power Rankings. Records and recent form use only games completed before Week 5. Confidence points indicate an order, not a win probability or guarantee. Expert picks can differ from the market favorite.

16POINTS

Expert pick: Dallas Cowboys

Thu Oct 8 - 8:15 PM ET

Dallas Cowboys favored by 8.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #13.00 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Record 0-4 · Power Rank #30

Last 4: L 14-17 GBL 16-23 MINL 19-23 CLEL 27-33 CIN

Week 4: lost 14-17, gaining 275 yards and allowing 283. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

Dallas Cowboys

Record 2-2 · Power Rank #12

Last 4: W 34-30 HOUL 31-34 BALW 37-20 WASL 20-28 NYG

Week 4: won 34-30, gaining 399 yards and allowing 397. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

15POINTS

Expert pick: Cincinnati Bengals

Sun Oct 11 - 1:00 PM ET

Cincinnati Bengals favored by 7 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #11.50 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Cincinnati Bengals

Record 2-2 · Power Rank #13

Last 4: L 17-22 JAXL 27-30 PITW 20-6 HOUW 33-27 TB

Week 4: lost 17-22, gaining 437 yards and allowing 323. The yardage advantage did not produce a win; converting drives into points is the immediate priority.

Miami Dolphins

Record 0-4 · Power Rank #31

Last 4: L 10-15 MINL 10-24 KCL 13-35 SFL 13-27 LV

Week 4: lost 10-15, gaining 198 yards and allowing 336. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

14POINTS

Expert pick: Jacksonville Jaguars

Sun Oct 11 - 9:30 AM ET

Jacksonville Jaguars favored by 6.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #9.25 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Philadelphia Eagles

Record 2-2 · Power Rank #15

Last 4: L 20-24 LAL 7-27 CHIW 24-20 TENW 24-22 WAS

Week 4: lost 20-24, gaining 172 yards and allowing 415. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Record 3-1 · Power Rank #4

Last 4: W 22-17 CINW 35-6 NEL 13-20 DENW 34-10 CLE

Week 4: won 22-17, gaining 323 yards and allowing 437. The result came despite being outgained; reducing yards allowed would give future wins a firmer foundation.

13POINTS

Expert pick: Denver Broncos

Sun Oct 11 - 4:05 PM ET

Denver Broncos favored by 3.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #8.17 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Denver Broncos

Record 2-2 · Power Rank #10

Last 4: L 14-24 SFW 30-26 LAW 20-13 JAXL 10-31 KC

Week 4: lost 14-24, gaining 296 yards and allowing 358. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

Los Angeles Chargers

Record 0-4 · Power Rank #29

Last 4: L 23-30 SEAL 16-24 BUFL 14-26 LVL 14-26 ARI

Week 4: lost 23-30, gaining 301 yards and allowing 286. The yardage advantage did not produce a win; converting drives into points is the immediate priority.

12POINTS

Expert pick: Houston Texans

Sun Oct 11 - 1:00 PM ET

Houston Texans favored by 6.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #8.17 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Houston Texans

Record 0-4 · Power Rank #25

Last 4: L 30-34 DALL 17-19 INDL 6-20 CINL 31-36 BUF

Week 4: lost 30-34, gaining 397 yards and allowing 399. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

Tennessee Titans

Record 0-4 · Power Rank #32

Last 4: L 18-24 BALL 7-12 NYGL 20-24 PHIL 10-23 NYJ

Week 4: lost 18-24, gaining 297 yards and allowing 384. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

11POINTS

Expert pick: Chicago Bears

Sun Oct 11 - 1:00 PM ET

Chicago Bears favored by 3 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #6.93 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Chicago Bears

Record 3-1 · Power Rank #8

Last 4: W 23-12 NYJW 27-7 PHIL 3-9 MINW 59-37 CAR

Week 4: won 23-12, gaining 492 yards and allowing 157. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

Green Bay Packers

Record 2-2 · Power Rank #24

Last 4: W 17-14 TBL 14-35 ATLW 20-17 NYJL 22-39 MIN

Week 4: won 17-14, gaining 283 yards and allowing 275. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

10POINTS

Expert pick: Detroit Lions

Sun Oct 11 - 4:25 PM ET

Detroit Lions favored by 4.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #6.00 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Detroit Lions

Record 2-2 · Power Rank #20

Last 4: L 26-32 CARW 31-24 NYJL 31-41 BUFW 31-30 NO

Week 4: lost 26-32, gaining 452 yards and allowing 445. The yardage advantage did not produce a win; converting drives into points is the immediate priority.

Arizona Cardinals

Record 1-3 · Power Rank #26

Last 4: L 24-36 NYGL 30-36 SFL 7-31 SEAW 26-14 LAC

Week 4: lost 24-36, gaining 270 yards and allowing 319. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

9POINTS

Expert pick: Minnesota Vikings

Sun Oct 11 - 1:00 PM ET

Minnesota Vikings favored by 1.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #5.25 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Minnesota Vikings

Record 4-0 · Power Rank #7

Last 4: W 15-10 MIAW 23-16 TBW 9-3 CHIW 39-22 GB

Week 4: won 15-10, gaining 336 yards and allowing 198. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

New Orleans Saints

Record 1-3 · Power Rank #22

Last 4: L 24-45 ATLL 27-35 LVW 24-17 BALL 30-31 DET

Week 4: lost 24-45, gaining 320 yards and allowing 420. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

8POINTS

Expert pick: New England Patriots

Sun Oct 11 - 1:00 PM ET

New England Patriots favored by 3.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #2.75 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Las Vegas Raiders

Record 3-1 · Power Rank #11

Last 4: L 27-30 KCW 35-27 NOW 26-14 LACW 27-13 MIA

Week 4: lost 27-30, gaining 437 yards and allowing 399. The yardage advantage did not produce a win; converting drives into points is the immediate priority.

New England Patriots

Record 2-2 · Power Rank #14

Last 4: W 29-26 BUFL 6-35 JAXW 20-3 PITL 10-13 SEA

Week 4: won 29-26, gaining 405 yards and allowing 340. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

7POINTS

Expert pick: Seattle Seahawks

Sun Oct 11 - 4:25 PM ET

Seattle Seahawks favored by 3 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #2.48 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

San Francisco 49ers

Record 4-0 · Power Rank #1

Last 4: W 24-14 DENW 36-30 ARIW 35-13 MIAW 27-7 LA

Week 4: won 24-14, gaining 358 yards and allowing 296. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

Seattle Seahawks

Record 3-1 · Power Rank #3

Last 4: W 30-23 LACL 31-33 WASW 31-7 ARIW 13-10 NE

Week 4: won 30-23, gaining 286 yards and allowing 301. The result came despite being outgained; reducing yards allowed would give future wins a firmer foundation.

6POINTS

Expert pick: Pittsburgh Steelers

Sun Oct 11 - 1:00 PM ET

Pittsburgh Steelers favored by 2.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #2.00 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Indianapolis Colts

Record 2-2 · Power Rank #21

Last 4: W 30-13 WASW 19-17 HOUL 30-33 KCL 23-41 BAL

Week 4: won 30-13, gaining 257 yards and allowing 317. The result came despite being outgained; reducing yards allowed would give future wins a firmer foundation.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Record 2-2 · Power Rank #23

Last 4: L 24-27 CLEW 30-27 CINL 3-20 NEW 20-13 ATL

Week 4: lost 24-27, gaining 361 yards and allowing 372. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

5POINTS

Expert pick: Los Angeles Rams

Mon Oct 12 - 8:15 PM ET

Los Angeles Rams favored by 2.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #1.50 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Buffalo Bills

Record 3-1 · Power Rank #5

Last 4: L 26-29 NEW 24-16 LACW 41-31 DETW 36-31 HOU

Week 4: lost 26-29, gaining 340 yards and allowing 405. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

Los Angeles Rams

Record 2-2 · Power Rank #9

Last 4: W 24-20 PHIL 26-30 DENW 28-6 NYGL 7-27 SF

Week 4: won 24-20, gaining 415 yards and allowing 172. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

4POINTS

Expert pick: Washington Commanders

Sun Oct 11 - 1:00 PM ET

Washington Commanders favored by 3 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #0.74 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

New York Giants

Record 3-1 · Power Rank #18

Last 4: W 36-24 ARIW 12-7 TENL 6-28 LAW 28-20 DAL

Week 4: won 36-24, gaining 319 yards and allowing 270. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

Washington Commanders

Record 1-3 · Power Rank #27

Last 4: L 13-30 INDW 33-31 SEAL 20-37 DALL 22-24 PHI

Week 4: lost 13-30, gaining 317 yards and allowing 257. The yardage advantage did not produce a win; converting drives into points is the immediate priority.

3POINTS

Expert pick: Atlanta Falcons

Sun Oct 11 - 8:20 PM ET

Atlanta Falcons favored by 3 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #0.50 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Baltimore Ravens

Record 3-1 · Power Rank #6

Last 4: W 24-18 TENW 34-31 DALL 17-24 NOW 41-23 IND

Week 4: won 24-18, gaining 384 yards and allowing 297. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

Atlanta Falcons

Record 2-2 · Power Rank #16

Last 4: W 45-24 NOW 35-14 GBL 3-34 CARL 13-20 PIT

Week 4: won 45-24, gaining 420 yards and allowing 320. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

2POINTS

Expert pick: New York Jets

Sun Oct 11 - 1:00 PM ET

New York Jets favored by 2.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #0.25 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Cleveland Browns

Record 3-1 · Power Rank #19

Last 4: W 27-24 PITW 21-18 CARW 23-19 TBL 10-34 JAX

Week 4: won 27-24, gaining 372 yards and allowing 361. The yardage advantage provides a useful foundation, but sustaining efficient scoring remains the next test.

New York Jets

Record 1-3 · Power Rank #28

Last 4: L 12-23 CHIL 24-31 DETL 17-20 GBW 23-10 TEN

Week 4: lost 12-23, gaining 157 yards and allowing 492. The defense allowed more production than the offense generated; improving that balance is the clearest route forward.

The Odds Lines are for reference only as they may have changed since publishing.