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2026 WEEK 8 · EXPERT PICKS

Pick'em with Confidence Points

Our suggested winners, ordered from 16 confidence points to 3. Pick straight-up winners; assign each point value once according to your pool rules.

Team outlooks from MyFootballToolbox Power Rankings. Records and recent form use only games completed before Week 8. Confidence points indicate an order, not a win probability or guarantee. Expert picks can differ from the market favorite.

Team outlooks reviewed 2026-10-27. Injury availability can change; recheck before kickoff. This text-only editorial update does not recalculate picks or confidence points.

16POINTS

Expert pick: Cincinnati Bengals

Sun Nov 1 - 1:00 PM ET

Cincinnati Bengals favored by 10 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #15.25 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Tennessee Titans

Record 1-6 · Power Rank #29

Last 4: L 24-27 CLEW 26-20 INDL 3-26 HOUL 18-24 BAL

Tennessee needs consistent execution against a dangerous Cincinnati offense.

Cincinnati Bengals

Record 4-2 · Power Rank #8

Last 4: W 35-13 BALW 31-24 MIAL 17-22 JAXL 27-30 PIT

Cincinnati seeks repeatable control after its decisive win in Baltimore.

15POINTS

Expert pick: Jacksonville Jaguars

Sun Nov 1 - 1:00 PM ET

Jacksonville Jaguars favored by 7.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #13.12 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Indianapolis Colts

Record 2-5 · Power Rank #28

Last 4: L 10-16 MINL 20-26 TENL 22-34 PITW 30-13 WAS

Indianapolis needs better possessions while trade speculation remains unconfirmed.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Record 4-2 · Power Rank #5

Last 4: L 31-34 HOUW 19-17 PHIW 22-17 CINW 35-6 NE

Jacksonville returns to a divisional matchup requiring sustained control.

14POINTS

Expert pick: New England Patriots

Sun Nov 1 - 4:25 PM ET

New England Patriots favored by 7.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #12.38 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

New England Patriots

Record 4-3 · Power Rank #10

Last 4: L 24-30 CHIW 26-19 NYJW 45-17 LVW 29-26 BUF

New England looks for a divisional response after a close defeat.

Miami Dolphins

Record 1-5 · Power Rank #30

Last 4: W 28-25 NYJL 24-31 CINL 10-15 MINL 10-24 KC

Miami seeks a repeatable divisional response after its first win.

13POINTS

Expert pick: Los Angeles Rams

Sun Nov 1 - 4:05 PM ET

Los Angeles Rams favored by 6.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #10.00 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Los Angeles Chargers

Record 0-6 · Power Rank #32

Last 4: L 6-22 KCL 17-23 DENL 23-30 SEAL 16-24 BUF

The Chargers return from their bye needing evidence of a complete response.

Los Angeles Rams

Record 3-4 · Power Rank #18

Last 4: W 35-21 LVL 16-18 ARIL 34-37 BUFW 24-20 PHI

Los Angeles needs to build on its balanced win in Las Vegas.

12POINTS

Expert pick: Dallas Cowboys

Sun Nov 1 - 1:00 PM ET

Dallas Cowboys favored by 6 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #7.00 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Arizona Cardinals

Record 2-5 · Power Rank #26

Last 4: L 16-30 DENW 18-16 LAL 21-45 DETL 24-36 NYG

Arizona needs clearer offensive execution and quarterback continuity.

Dallas Cowboys

Record 3-4 · Power Rank #22

Last 4: W 38-21 PHIL 13-23 GBL 16-24 TBW 34-30 HOU

Dallas needs its offense to keep supporting a vulnerable defense.

11POINTS

Expert pick: Buffalo Bills

Sun Nov 1 - 1:00 PM ET

Buffalo Bills favored by 3.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #6.75 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Baltimore Ravens

Record 4-3 · Power Rank #15

Last 4: L 13-35 CINL 10-13 CLEW 30-23 ATLW 24-18 TEN

Baltimore faces a difficult response test after a decisive home defeat.

Buffalo Bills

Record 5-1 · Power Rank #2

Last 4: W 33-30 LVW 37-34 LAL 26-29 NEW 24-16 LAC

Buffalo returns from its bye needing evidence against Baltimore.

10POINTS

Expert pick: Green Bay Packers

Thu Oct 29 - 8:15 PM ET

Green Bay Packers favored by 3.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #4.75 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Carolina Panthers

Record 3-3 · Power Rank #19

Last 4: L 13-43 TBW 25-14 PHIW 32-26 DETL 18-21 CLE

Carolina needs a defensive and possession reset on a short week.

Green Bay Packers

Record 4-3 · Power Rank #14

Last 4: L 17-20 DETW 23-13 DALW 31-7 CHIW 17-14 TB

Green Bay needs cleaner execution on its short turnaround.

9POINTS

Expert pick: Seattle Seahawks

Mon Nov 2 - 8:15 PM ET

Seattle Seahawks favored by 3.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #4.25 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Chicago Bears

Record 5-2 · Power Rank #9

Last 4: W 30-24 NEW 31-23 ATLL 7-31 GBW 23-12 NYJ

Chicago needs clean possessions against a confident Seattle defense.

Seattle Seahawks

Record 4-3 · Power Rank #6

Last 4: W 20-3 KCL 14-17 DENL 29-32 SFW 30-23 LAC

Seattle must build on its strong defensive win against Kansas City.

8POINTS

Expert pick: Washington Commanders

Sun Nov 1 - 8:20 PM ET

Washington Commanders favored by 4.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #3.96 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Philadelphia Eagles

Record 2-5 · Power Rank #25

Last 4: L 21-38 DALL 14-25 CARL 17-19 JAXL 20-24 LA

Philadelphia needs offensive continuity in its next divisional game.

Washington Commanders

Record 1-4-1 · Power Rank #27

Last 4: L 17-23 SFT 27-27 NYGL 13-30 INDW 33-31 SEA

Washington returns with a divisional opportunity and unsettled target roles.

7POINTS

Expert pick: Las Vegas Raiders

Sun Nov 1 - 1:00 PM ET

Las Vegas Raiders favored by 1.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #3.50 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Las Vegas Raiders

Record 3-4 · Power Rank #23

Last 4: L 21-35 LAL 30-33 BUFL 17-45 NEL 27-30 KC

Las Vegas needs cleaner sustained offense after another defeat.

New York Jets

Record 2-5 · Power Rank #31

Last 4: L 25-28 MIAL 19-26 NEW 17-12 CLEL 12-23 CHI

The Jets need team consistency to match emerging offensive production.

6POINTS

Expert pick: Pittsburgh Steelers

Sun Nov 1 - 1:00 PM ET

Pittsburgh Steelers favored by 3.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #3.22 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Cleveland Browns

Record 5-2 · Power Rank #12

Last 4: W 27-24 TENW 13-10 BALL 12-17 NYJW 27-24 PIT

Cleveland needs stable emerging roles in another divisional contest.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Record 5-2 · Power Rank #13

Last 4: W 16-10 NOW 26-19 TBW 34-22 INDL 24-27 CLE

Pittsburgh needs dependable offensive possessions against Cleveland.

5POINTS

Expert pick: Kansas City Chiefs

Sun Nov 1 - 4:25 PM ET

Kansas City Chiefs favored by 1.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #2.23 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Kansas City Chiefs

Record 5-1 · Power Rank #4

Last 4: L 3-20 SEAW 22-6 LACW 30-27 LVW 24-10 MIA

Kansas City needs offensive answers after being held to three points.

Denver Broncos

Record 5-2 · Power Rank #7

Last 4: W 30-16 ARIW 17-14 SEAW 23-17 LACL 14-24 SF

Denver rises while the backfield workload still requires careful tracking.

4POINTS

Expert pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sun Nov 1 - 1:00 PM ET

Tampa Bay Buccaneers favored by 2.5 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #1.48 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Atlanta Falcons

Record 3-4 · Power Rank #16

Last 4: W 29-20 SFL 23-31 CHIL 23-30 BALW 45-24 NO

Atlanta must turn its upset win into consistent weekly execution.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Record 2-5 · Power Rank #20

Last 4: W 43-13 CARL 19-26 PITW 24-16 DALL 14-17 GB

Tampa Bay seeks consistency after a major offensive breakout.

3POINTS

Expert pick: Detroit Lions

Sun Nov 1 - 1:00 PM ET

Detroit Lions favored by 3 points (reference line)

MFT Confidence Index #0.49 · Higher means stronger relative pick confidence; it is not a win probability.

Minnesota Vikings

Record 6-0 · Power Rank #1

Last 4: W 16-10 INDW 23-13 NOW 15-10 MIAW 23-16 TB

Minnesota leads, with another divisional test for its complementary approach.

Detroit Lions

Record 4-2 · Power Rank #11

Last 4: W 20-17 GBW 45-21 ARIL 26-32 CARW 31-24 NYJ

Detroit faces a demanding divisional follow-up after edging Green Bay.

The Odds Lines are for reference only as they may have changed since publishing.